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Articles on Polling
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We can use data on public attitudes to help get a sense of whether the UK would vote differently if it got another chance.
Back in 2016, the Brexit vote and US presidential election seemed like a nationalist one-two punch that could knock out the European Union. Instead, EU support actually rose, new research shows.
The prime minister’s office has promoted tweets in favour of the Brexit deal – why that’s a problem.
The odds favor a big year for Democrats, but the extent of their gains is still in doubt.
When political polls are aggregated together, that can make the results misleading.
Policymaking is no longer based solely on what a party stands for. Now, it also matters how a decision is going to play in the opinion polls – and that’s a problem for our political system.
How do you know whether to trust a poll? Look carefully at how it was conducted – and examine your own biases.
Results showing a large number of Leave constituencies now back Remain caused great excitement but don’t necessarily mean major change is on the way.
Research has shown that UKIP polling is driven by media coverage rather than the reverse.
Russian meddling has shaken Americans’ faith in democracy. But public discontent after a scandal is hardly new. Trust in government began to erode under Nixon, and it’s mostly worsened since then.
Most Leave voters would rather lose Northern Ireland than drop Brexit, reflecting a longstanding indifference.
On June 7, Ontario may have a new premier, and the latest public opinion polls suggest it could be Andrea Horwath. She would lead just the second NDP government in Ontario.
A scholar offers advice to voters who are leery of polling after the 2016 election.
Most surveys are consistent in finding there is a substantial minority of the view that immigration is too high, but not a large majority.
The strong US economy has improved Donald Trump’s ratings in the last month.
In both Australian and overseas elections held in 2017, the left generally performed better than expected.
Survey shows Remain voters more opposed to a hard border than Leave voters.
Polls show a clear majority support assisted dying in Britain – but it depends on how the question is asked.
In the marriage equality debate as in any other, media outlets must balance the right to freedom of speech with the balance of evidence.
Top contributors
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Ashbel Smith Professor, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research
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Honorary Professor, University of Sydney
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Professor of Electoral Geography, University of Sheffield
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Emeritus professor, Monash University
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Director, La Trobe Centre for Global Security, and Professor of International Relations, La Trobe University
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Professor of Political Communication; Director CAJ, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Southampton
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Professor of Political Science, University of Richmond