A new report finds the surge in support for One Nation is no longer just a protest vote.
Articles on Polls
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Australia has more polls than ever. Research shows poll-focused media coverage increases public cynicism and damages political debate.
Why would a young Republican back solar but reject a carbon tax? Twenty years of survey data shows climate opinion is more complex than party labels suggest.
The far-right party’s momentum may have slowed, but it still attracts strong support – Victoria’s November state election will show just how much.
AI models can simulate the answers thousands of people would provide to a survey, but the results aren’t a reliable measure of what real people would actually say.
Romuald Wadagni’s election is viewed by many as a continuation of a pre-existing political system, rather than a genuine change in leadership.
Albanese’s Labor government seems to be under little threat politically. But difficult economic times and an insecure global environment are making voters anxious.
The latest batch of polling shows some mixed results for both the prime minister and the opposition leader.
Trump’s net approval has never been lower, while Democrats had a 25-point swing in their favour in a federal special election.
Nigel Farage has criticised polling company YouGov for showing less Reform UK support than other agencies.
Pauline Hanson’s party is certainly climbing in the polls. But it is still a very long way from genuine leadership contention.
The president loves exercising power in the United States and abroad. But he’s tanking in the polls – and the November mid-terms may clip his wings at home.
Democrats and Republicans alike have concerns about AI and want to see the rapidly developing technology regulated to protect the public.
The Bible contains some explicit genocidal narratives, and over time, some religious Zionists have wielded these stories to advocate for the destruction of the Palestinians.
The Greens have not had a stellar year electorally, and their leader is ranked as one of the least likeable. The party might need a change of approach ahead of the 2025 federal election.
The vagaries of polling – and, most of all, the vagaries of the US electoral system – mean there is little point attempting to read the tea leaves beyond the broad public sentiment polling captures.
While Labor did not suffer the landslide defeat that had been predicted a few months ago, the comeback was not enough to hold on to government.
With just a few weeks until the presidential election, the polls have both sides in a dead heat – so now the result may hinge on who comes out to vote.
With polling day on Saturday, the incumbent Labor government is facing an uphill battle to stay in power, but neither major party is acknowledging the elephant in the room.
An expected low turnout could threaten Labour’s poll lead.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research
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Research Professor at the Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Professor of Political Science, LaGrange College
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Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Advancing Journalism, The University of Melbourne
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Senior Project Manager, Murdoch University
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PhD Candidate, The University of Western Australia
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Professor of Geography, University of Bristol