The Labor Party continues the poll slide it has experienced since the failed Voice referendum in October.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Labor still leads on two-party preferred, but is feeling the strain as cost of living pressures take hold.
The slumping polls show how damaging the heavy defeat of the Voice referendum and continuing cost of living pressures have been to the prime minister and Labor.
Coalition talks can now start in earnest after the final results for the 2023 election were released.
After a post-referendum drop in the polls, Labor has bounced back.
Ahead of Friday’s final election results, the most likely outcome is National and ACT will need to add NZ First to form a right-wing coalition government. These are the results and seats to watch.
The final Newspoll gave “no” an accurate lead. Meanwhile, Labor maintains a strong overall lead against the Coalition.
With final results awaiting the inclusion of special votes, the shape of New Zealand’s next parliament hangs in the balance. Here are the variables in play.
Our election analyst lays out the current projections across the nation.
As the Voice referendum draws to a close this weekend, polls suggest the “no” case will win by a substantial margin.
With two days of the campaign left, what had earlier seemed like a relatively predictable election has narrowed considerably, with several variables potentially influencing the outcome.
With less than a week to go until the Voice referendum, the polls are looking grim for the “yes” campaign.
While the latest Essential polls shows an improvement for the “yes” vote, it’s still not enough for it to lead.
The latest political opinion polls confirm the rightward trend since mid-year. But with NZ First on the rise, the shape of the next government remains unpredictable.
The prime minister’s approval ratings have turned around from the last Newspoll - but the “yes” campaign for the Voice referendum continues to struggle.
In the national poll, 42% of respondents said they were a hard ‘no’, compared to 28% who said they were a hard ‘yes’.
New Zealand’s proportional electoral system makes coalition governments all but inevitable. Ahead of the October 14 election, the jockeying for power is all on the right.
The Conversation’s poll-watcher breaks down the party support trend since March – which has all been surging one way, despite some variation between pollsters.
As support for the Voice continues to slide, voters are turning away from the Albanese government too.
The latest Newspoll shows more bad news for the “yes” campaign.
If the “yes” case is to win the October referendum, there will need to be sharp turn around in the polling trends to date.
By the October 2024 state election, Labor will have governed for almost ten years, so there could be an ‘it’s time’ factor for voters.
Polling on the Voice continues to provide bad news for the Albanese government and the “yes” campaign.
Polling continues to bring bad news for supporters of the Voice to Parliament.
Support for the Voice to Parliament continues to slide - but there are some small glimmers of hope for the “yes” campaign.
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