Some contests are so close it may be some time before a result is confirmed.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Labor’s huge win in the House of Representatives looks like it will be mirrored by an improvement in their Senate representation too.
Despite strong polling in Labor’s favour throughout the campaign, most numbers understated the extent of the swing.
Polls also show Anthony Albanese is preferred PM over Peter Dutton, but both leaders have poor net approval ratings.
YouGov’s central forecast is Labor winning 84 of the 150 lower house seats for an 18-seat majority.
With just days to go until the election, four polls have the Labor party ahead on a two-party preferred basis.
The Liberals had been poised for a heavy defeat – before the election of Donald Trump across the border.
With just five full days left until the May 3 election and early voting in progress, Labor remains the favourite to win, according to the polls.
With the final week of the campaign about to begin, Labor’s advantage in the polls continues.
While there is always much interest in preference deals, many voters simply do their own thing at the ballot box.
In January, the governing Liberals were more than 20 points behind in the polls, but with an election just days away, they’re now well ahead.
The latest Newspoll has Labor consolidating its recent gains ahead of the May 3 election.
With just a fortnight until the federal election, polls continue to show a boost in support for Labor, although to varying degrees.
There will be a half Senate election on May 3, with the all-important balance of power in play.
Mid-way through the election campaign, the Labor leader’s popularity has also surged.
While the two-party preferred numbers are steady, the prime minister’s approval rating has improved, as have Labor’s chances in marginal seats.
Amid global turmoil and with two weeks of the election campaign done, Labor is enjoying a bump in the polls.
The latest Newspoll continues the movement towards Labor, and while Anthony Albanese’s approval rating remains low he still leads as preferred prime minister.
While the polls remain tight, Labor is ahead after the first week of campaigning.
The gains for Labor are probably in spite of a poorly rated federal budget.
With a five-week campaign ahead, the polls have swing back in favour of Labor - but it’s still very close.
The latest Morgan poll will be heartening for the government ahead of a federal election - but it may be a pro-Labor outlier.
Anthony Albanese is improving in the preferred prime minister stakes, but the overall margins remain tight.
While the Coalition leads in three out of the four major polls over the last week, Labor has made up some ground.
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