- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
The latest Newspoll has bad news for the Labor government, but it is out of step with other recent polls.
Polling shows the Democrat and Republican nominees remain in a tight race. The same can’t be said for the Queensland state election, where the LNP is polling strongly ahead of the Labor government.
The US presidential race continues to be tight, while the Coalition holds a narrow lead over Labor in one Australian federal poll.
The Democratic nominee has consolidated the leads she gained after her debate with Donal Trump, in which she was widely seen to have bested the former president.
Australians still nominate cost of living and housing as the issues that worry them most.
The Democratic nominee has received a sizeable bounce following her strong performance in the presidential debate.
Asked whether government should prioritise tackling sports betting or pokies, 47% also said both in the new Resolve poll.
The early boost in support for the Democrat appears to have tapered off, so much now hangs on this week’s presidential debate.
The two-party preferred vote is tied again in Newspoll, but the prime minister’s net approval continues to slide.
The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.8–45.0. In my previous…
Kamala Harris continues to gain over Republican rival Donald Trump. Meanwhile, the Country Liberal Party thrashes Labor in the Northern Territory election.
After weeks of consistent increases in popularity, Harris has closed the gap with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. In some states, they’re neck and neck.
With next week’s Democratic National Convention expected to provide another bounce for Harris, the polls continue to shift in her direction.
Voter concerns about inflation and cost of living continue to keep the government’s polling numbers down.
Polling indicates Kamala Harris’s candidacy has tightened the US presidential race. At home, the numbers are a mixed bag for the government.
The former president has a narrow lead over the current vice president, but Harris’ numbers are on the rise.
Now that President Biden has pulled out of the race, let’s look at the numbers we have for a Harris vs Trump contest.
Labor edges ahead in Newspoll, but other polls have worse news for the government.
Cost of living pressures continue to hit the Labor government in the polls.
Labour’s Keir Starmer becomes the new UK prime minister after 14 years of Conservative rule.
While Labor has a small bump in the polls, the prime minister’s net approval rating has hit its lowest point this year. But voters are more disapproving of Peter Dutton.
Polling hasn’t improved for the UK’s Conservatives throughout the campaign. meanwhile, French President Emmanuel Macron appears to be heading for electoral disaster.
The new seat boundaries mean some can notionally change hands; others can be added or disappear altogether.
While Labor still holds a two-party-preferred lead over the Coalition, Peter Dutton has moved ahead as preferred PM for the first time.
Labor’s. fortunes continue to slide in the wake of the failed Voice to Parliament referendum.
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