For the first time since becoming premier in 2014, more voters disapprove of Dan Andrews than approve of him in the Morgan poll.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Labor’s post-election honeymoon, while hitting a snag or two, has not yet ended - but support for the Voice to Parliament continues to slide.
Polling continues to show that support for a “yes” vote at the upcoming referendum is losing ground.
The ‘no’ campaign now leads by a margin of 46-43% nationally. It also has a majority in polls in four states.
Despite his legal troubles, the former president maintains a healthy lead in the race for the Republican nomination.
After a shocking state election result, the Victorian opposition has slumped further in the latest polls.
The polls are showing wildly different results for the likelihood of the Voice to parliament succeeding - which may be explained by who they are polling.
The Labor government maintains a healthy lead in the polls, but support for the Voice to parliament appears to be slipping.
The Treasury has been taking extraordinary measures to delay a default, but these measures could fail as early as June 1.
Labor’s post-election honeymoon shows no sign of ending, but the Voice referendum is on shakier ground.
This year’s budget hasn’t rated well by historical standards, but has nonetheless given Anthony Albanese a boost in his personal ratings.
Robert’s seat of Fadden in Queensland, and Morrison’s seat of Cook in New South Wales, would both likely be safely held by the Liberals.
History shows the “yes” vote tends to drop off as referendum day nears, and the government will need to maintain its strong polling lead for the vote to succeed.
A round-up of the latest polls shows the Albanese government continues to ride high, while polls on the Indigenous Voice to parliament vote are mixed.
The latest Essential poll also gave federal Labor a 52-43 two party lead.
With the NSW election results almost finalised, Labor has won 45 of 93 seats and so will form a minority government.
Meanwhile, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s net approval slumps to an all-time low.
Labor is set to win the once-safe Liberal seat of Aston in Melbourne’s outer east, a disastrous result for the Liberals and Peter Dutton.
With pre-poll votes not running in Labor’s favour, the party is unlikely to form majority government.
Even with a handful of seats still in doubt, Chris Minns’ Labor Party is on track for majority government.
The final NSW election polls vary on the predicted outcome, but they all point to a Labor win.
Polls show the race to form the next state government in NSW has tightened in recent weeks.
The polls in late February suggest a 4-5% swing in the overall, two-party vote to Labor. However, Labor needs to pick up ten seats in total to win its own majority.
The Albanese government suffered a small setback on two party preferred figures in the latest Newspoll – but there was good news on its proposed super tax changes.
The latest Newspoll shows Labor’s lead shrinking but still leading ahead of the NSW state election in March.
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