While Labor had a big fall in its primary vote since winning 59.9% in 2021, this fall didn’t go directly to the Liberals and Nationals.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
After achieving the biggest parliamentary majority in Australian history in 2021, polls predict Labor will hold onto power comfortably.
Polls have improved for the Labor government ahead of the election - but Victoria still looks like a potential disaster zone for them.
In a blow to the Albanese government, the latest polling has the two-party preferred gap widening, and Labor headed for defeat.
Results from NewsPoll, Morgan, YouGov and RedBridge all put the Coalition ahead.
Voters punished the Allan Labor government in Werribee, but did not fully embrace the Liberals, either.
Labor is in a strong position ahead of the WA election, while federal Labor has also received some better news from the latest polls.
According to the latest polls, if an election were held now, Labor would probably lose.
With an election due by May, latest polls have good news for the Coalition and bad news for the prime minister.
Latest polls are a mixed bag, but show cost of living pressures are still biting the Albanese government.
Australians are feeling economic pain - and they continue to punish the Labor government for it.
If Democrats benefit from higher turnout and Trump is unpopular, they could heavily defeat Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections.
With voters still feeling the pinch from the cost of living crisis, the government in general and the prime minister in particular are dipping in the polls.
It may be controversial, but the government’s social media ban for children under 16 has strong support in a new poll.
This is the second time the SA Labor government has gained a seat from the opposition at a byelection.
With a federal election due in the first half of 2025, the Coalition is gaining on Labor.
Where once Democrats could rely on the votes of Hispanic Americans, Trump has swung them across to the Republicans in big numbers.
The former president is set to return to the White House with a comfortable Electoral College win.
As the US election comes to a head, polls still show a close race.
Trump has a wafer-thin lead in polling averages in Pennsylvania, which will be all-important in deciding the next US president.
With the US presidential election just over a week away, the polls remain very close.
While Labor did not suffer the landslide defeat that had been predicted a few months ago, the comeback was not enough to hold on to government.
As Queenslanders head to the polls this weekend, Labor gains ground but still looks headed for defeat.
The ACT election has yielded yet another Labor win, with the party holding office in the ACT since 2001.
The US election will come down to the results in a handful of key states - and polling indicates it will be very close.
Contact Adrian for
- General
- Media request
- Speaking request
- Consulting / Advising
- Research collaboration
- Research supervision
- Website
- Article Feed
-
- Joined
