Latest polling shows some of the gloss coming off federal Labor and Anthony Albanese - but they are still well ahead of the opposition.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
The resignation of Alan Tudge paves the way for a byelection in the outer-Melbourne seat, which history shows the Liberal Party is likely to hold.
The senator’s move to the cross-bench means Labor now needs the support of more cross-benchers, as well as the Greens, to get legislation passed.
The first Newspoll to ask about the Indigenous Voice to Parliament also found 56-37 in favour.
Anthony Albanese maintains “honeymoon” period approval ratings, but support for the Voice to Parliament has slipped.
The Coalition won the 2019 NSW election by a 52-48 margin, so this poll represents an 8% swing to Labor. But voters are largely indifferent to the Dominic Perrottet Nazi costume scandal.
With an election due in October 2024, Queenslanders still favour the incumbent Palaszczuk government.
The Victorian election results are finalised. How different might they have looked under a reformed Senate system?
Latest polling gives the Albanese government a strong lead over the opposition; Victorian election results are close to being finalised.
The Labor federal government continues to poll strongly, maintaining a big two-party preferred lead.
To get legislation through the upper house, the re-elected Andrews government will likely need the support of the Greens and Legalise Cannabis.
Despite a swing away from Labor, the Andrews government has been returned comfortably for a third term.
As election day arrives in Victoria, two late polls predict a return of the Andrews Labor government.
With the Victorian state election just days away, a new poll shows the gap between the two major parties to be tightening.
Latest polls show a narrowing lead for the ALP in the Victorian election, while the upper house voting system continues to attract criticism.
With 12 days to go until the Victorian state election, the Labor government appears headed for re-election.
While the final make-up of the next Congress remains uncertain, the predicted “red wave” of Republican wins has not materialised.
This week’s US midterm elections will likely see big changes to who controls Congress.
The Labor government’s lead is closing in the polls, but it still looks set to be returned on November 26.
There were mixed results for the Albanese government from polls take in the wake of its first budget.
Four weeks out from the Victorian state election, Labor still looks likely to retain government, although with a swing against it.
With less than a month until the US midterms, the economy may play the decisive role in the outcome- and that may be difficult for Biden and the Democrats.
Latest polls continue to show strong support for the Albanese government.
At every midterm election since 2006, the non-presidential party has easily won control of the House. It will be difficult for Democrats to defy this history.
A recent NSW Resolve poll gave Labor 43% of the primary vote, and the Coalition just 30%, though the major party leaders were tied for preferred premier.
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