A redrawing of federal seat boundaries could have implications for the next election.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Queensland Premier Steven Miles is falling behind his Liberal counterpart as preferred premier. Federally, Labor and the Coalition remain tied, according to Freshwater polling.
Labor had a 52-48% edge over the Coalition in the latest Newspoll, while Albanese’s net approval jumped six points.
Local elections in the UK have swung in favour of Labour, while counting continues for three seats in the Tasmanian upper house.
Queensland Premier Steven Miles’ net-approval rating was the worst for a leader in the state since YouGov started doing polls for The Courier Mail.
The increasing cost of living may be denting support for the Labor government.
While it was clear the Liberals were set to govern in minority weeks ago, the end of the vote count leaves the party with one less seat than expected, making forming government harder.
The Coalition lead Labor 53–47, excluding undecided, in a federal Essential poll.
Inflation and the cost of living continue to eat away at Labor’s polling advantage.
Hours into the count in the Tasmanian election, the state can expect a hung parliament. Meanwhile, Labor is succeeding in a South Australian state byelection.
The polls are favouring the Liberals for Saturday’s state election, but whether they could govern in their own right is far less clear.
As the Trump v Biden contest shapes up ahead of the US presidential election in November, the polls are not favourable to the incumbent president.
Polls aren’t favouring state Labor parties. Based on the latest figures, Labor would struggle to form government in Tasmania, while support for the party in Queensland has dipped.
Two new polls also have Labor ahead of the Coalition on a two-party preferred measure.
While Labor will be relieved at holding Dunkley, polls point to a rockier path to the next federal election.
Ahead of the Dunkley byelection on March 2, Labor takes a hit in key polls, but Anthony Albanese’s personal approval is still ahead of Peter Dutton’s.
The Tasmanian Liberal government has called an early election, but some recent polling suggests a rise in the popularity of Jacqui Lambie’s party.
While two-party preferred polling is steady, a majority of Australians support Labor’s changes to the stage 3 tax cuts.
The former president leads his only remaining Republican rival, Nikki Haley, by 68% to 12% in an aggregate of national polls.
The summer break hasn’t changed the Freshwater polling figures for the two major parties federally. Overseas, the former US President is in a strong position ahead of the Iowa caucus.
Latest polling suggests Labor’s position might be improving slightly, perhaps due to increased optimism about the state of the economy.
The incumbent president is struggling in the polls, with his biggest hopes an improvement in economic sentiment before the election, and a conviction for Trump.
While the latest poll gives the Labor government a comfortable lead, this is not supported by other polls.
A proposed Senate election reform would be little to fix the unequal representation of the states and territories in the upper house - in fact, it would make it worse.
The Labor government’s once-healthy lead has crashed since the October referendum.
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