Labor maintains a clear two-party advantage over One Nation and the Coalition, but their combined vote has increased by two points.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
While Morgan and YouGov polls put Labor well ahead of the Coalition after preferences, Essential puts the Coalition ahead for the first time since the 2025 election.
Polls have the combined primary vote for Labor and the Greens dropping. But there’s no sign of a boost for the Coalition after its leadership change.
New polling shows One Nation’s surge continuing, while the Liberals face oblivion in South Australia.
The Coalition is pulling ahead in Victoria, polling at 29%, while One Nation is just two points behind Labor, nine months out from the November election.
As One Nation continues to surge at the expense of the Liberals, there is a chance the Liberals will win no lower house seats at the March 21 election.
On current polling, the Coalition would struggle to win ten of the 150 House of Representatives seats.
Australia has long had preferential voting, and it is the best system for safeguarding our democracy.
Five federal polls have been released in the past week, painting a rosy picture for Pauline Hanson’s party.
The right-wing populist party continues to climb in polling following the Bondi terror attack, mostly at the expense of the Coalition.
Meanwhile, the Coalition continues to struggle in all polls, leaking votes to One Nation.
While Labor’s support has flagged since the Bondi terror attacks, support for One Nation appears to be continuing to rise.
Two state governments are up for re-election in Australia, while the US midterms offer an opportunity for the Democrats to take control of Congress.
Albanese’s net approval slumped 15 points to -9, the lowest it has been in this poll since the May election.
The polling, conducted before the Bondi terror attack, sees Labor maintain its lead, including Anthony Albanese increasing his popularity as preferred prime minister.
While federal Labor remains well ahead of the competition, a poll modelling seat outcomes has Pauline Hanson’s party picking up a dozen in the lower house.
The US president’s net approval has recovered slightly from the November low.
Federal Labor continues to poll strongly as the Coalition wrestles with climate policy. Meanwhile, Victorian Labor’s polling continues to be dire.
Pauline Hanson’s party continues gaining popularity in the polls - most at the Liberals’ expense.
The Coalition has also gained two points in the federal Resolve poll, although the picture isn’t as rosy for Sussan Ley’s net approval rating.
The extended government shut-down has seen Trump’s already-weak ratings tumble further.
The Coalition’s primary vote fell to 24%, just nine points higher than One Nation. One Nation could be on track to overtake the Coalition as the main right-wing party.
If current polling results hold, SA Labor will have the second largest landslide in a state or federal election in Australian history.
After an earlier surge in support, Victorian Labor has slumped again.
The President’s polling results haven’t changed much since the government came to a standstill. Here’s why the shutdown came about and how it’s progressing.
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