Three new federal polls since Monday produce a mixed bag of results for One Nation, but all good news for the government.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Support for Labor and the Greens combined is up five points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 44% in Redbridge.
In polls taken partly after Pauline Hanson’s address at the National Press Club, her party’s vote has climbed further.
Meanwhile, the Allan government is in trouble in Victoria ahead of November’s state election.
Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan’s approval rating has hit dire levels. Meanwhile, Pauline Hanson leads as preferred prime minister in federal Resolve poll.
Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumped seven points to -24, a record low below his previous record low -21 in February 2025.
Both Redbridge and YouGov polls have Pauline Hanson’s party ahead of the government, before preferences.
A Redbridge MRP poll has Labor winning 76 seats. The Coalition would secure just 12 seats in the House of Representatives compared to One Nation’s 53.
While Labor has taken a hit, One Nation has gained one to three points in all five federal post-budget polls.
The budget is among the most worst rating since Newspoll started surveying people about it in 1988, but Labor remains ahead.
Trump’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.
David Farley’s win means One Nation has won its first election for a federal House of Representatives seat.
Anthony Albanese’s net favourability is up, according to a national Redbridge and Accent Research poll.
The president’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.
Federal Labor is stable in the polls - except for a new YouGov survey. Meanwhile, the Coalition leads in a Victorian Resolve poll.
The latest batch of polling shows some mixed results for both the prime minister and the opposition leader.
Applying 2025 election preference flows would give Labor below a 51–49 lead over the Coalition, their worst result since their re-election in 2025.
Trump’s net approval has never been lower, while Democrats had a 25-point swing in their favour in a federal special election.
The government is yet to see any major backlash in the polls over the fuel crisis, with most voters blaming Donald Trump instead.
Opposition to the Iran war is very strong in Australia, but so far the government has not been damaged by it in the polls.
The DemosAU MRP poll projects outcomes for every lower house seat. It forecasts great news for One Nation and catastrophically bad news for the Coalition.
While Labor has secured a thumping win, which party will form opposition is not yet clear.
Labor is set to win the South Australian election easily. But there is much interest in how One Nation and the Liberals will fare.
Labor’s vote has dropped since the start of the Iran war, but it is still comfortably ahead of any other party.
One of the Victorian polls has Labor ahead on primary votes, while the other says it’s the Liberals in the lead. In NSW, Labor is out in front.
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