Even in the locked down states of NSW and Victoria, incumbent premiers continue to poll well ahead of their rivals.
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Labor still leads in two-party preferred polling, while the prime minister’s approval rating has slumped to its worst since the start of the pandemic.
While the Coalition continues to slump in recent polling, the prime minister’s approval rating steadies.
After the Coalition fell behind Labor federally in recent polls, it appears to have clawed some of that back – and voters are keen on opening up once vaccination rates are high enough.
The prime minister has taken a hit in the polls over the poor vaccine rollout as the country’s biggest cities again deal with lockdowns.
Polling results suggest the ousting of Michael McCormack in favour of Joyce could hurt the Coalition
Voters are punishing the Coalition, and particularly Prime Minister Scott Morrison, for the vaccine debacle, but they may yet be saved by a strong economy.
Polling reflects wide dissatisfaction with the vaccine rollout. Despite this, the Coalition is still in a winning position for the next election.
Despite sending Victorians into their fourth lockdown, the Andrews government retains a healthy lead in polling and is favoured to win the next election.
In this week’s Newspoll, Morrison scored his lowest net approval since the COVID crisis started last year. Anthony Albanese also clocked a record low.
Recent elections in Australia, the US and the UK have seen left-leaning parties lose votes among non-university educated whites. One way to win them back might be to disassociate from ‘elite’ opinion.
In the latest release of polls, the Morrison government also leads Albanese’s Labor when it comes to economic management.
Governments rarely experience a big bounce after budgets - and this year’s seems to be no exception.
Peter Gutwein is returned as Tasmanian premier, another incumbent state government winning an election on the back of sound COVID management.
With a state election on Saturday, polls are showing different trends. Meanwhile, vaccine wariness among Australians is growing.
Scott Morrison’s popularity is holding firm against a troubled vaccine rollout and controversies about the treatment of women.
Recent polls have shown a disparity between men and women’s support for the prime minister in the wake of horrendous stories about the treatment of women. How can the data help us understand that?
After a terrible few weeks, the prime minister’s approval rating has plunged. Meanwhile, a redistribution sees Victoria gain a seat and WA lose one.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s strong ratings in the Newspoll and Essential poll suggest the slow vaccine rollout and anger among women might not be hurting the government yet.
The WA Liberals’ near wipe-out includes the seat of Opposition Leader Zak Kirkup.
Polling has Labor on a primary vote of 59%, which hasn’t been seen in a state election since New South wales in 1978.
One analyst describes Labor’s lead in WA as “scarcely possible”, while new focus on sexual assault at Parliament House has not had an impact on the latest federal Newspoll.
There is good news and bad news for Prime Minister Scott Morrison in the first Newspoll for 2021.
In the wake of the Capitol riots and baseless claims of election fraud, Trump ends his presidency with his worst approval rating since December 2017.
Two-thirds of respondents in the last poll of the year said they were satisfied with Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s performance, a reflection of his handling of COVID-19.
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