- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
The latest polls show the government’s internal divisions are taking their toll- and some of its members are seriously out of step with the general public on energy policy.
While the two-party preferred polling remains steady, the prime minister has taken a tumble in his personal approval ratings.
As the US president brags about his approval ratings, an analysis of the poll numbers shows the upcoming mid-terms to be very tight races.
Despite reports Labor might struggle in Braddon and Longman, the byelections delivered a comfortable win in Braddon and a strong one in Longman.
Ahead of Saturday’s crucial byelections, senior Labor Party figures have described a vote for Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party as a vote for the Coalition. What do the records show?
With the much anticipated Super Saturday byelections on Saturday, the polls in Longman and Braddon still show a very tight race.
Latest polling shows a mixed back for both major Victorian parties, but Labor is still ahead on two-party preferred.
More worrying for Labor than Bill Shorten’s bad, though, is Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s rising ratings.
With the contest for the five ‘Super Saturday’ byelections heating up, Longman hangs in the balance, while Rebekha Sharkie has a solid lead in Mayo.
While the Turnbull government’s ratings have improved, the focus on its tax policies and the Barnaby Joyce story may be holding back its vote.
ReachTEL polls show Labor is behind in key byelections, but Essential has better news for Bill Shorten.
Labor still holds a narrow two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, while polling takes a skewed turn.
Polls also have good news for the government, with the two-party preferred gap narrowing and the budget well-received.
While Labor is likely to win all four of the upcoming byelections in seats it holds, Rebekha Sharkie faces a tougher fight in the South Australian seat of Mayo.
Labor holds its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, but recent momentum has been with the incumbent government.
Malcolm Turnbull may have lost 31 consecutive Newspolls, but the latest result shows a narrowing between the two major parties, and the Coalition’s best performance since September 2016.
On the new boundaries, Labor requires just a five-seat gain to win a majority, while the Coalition needs to gain two seats to retain its majority.
Despite the government’s 30th Newspoll loss under Malcolm Turnbull, this week’s polls have been a mixed bag for both sides.
The Coalition braces for the next Newspoll, while a redistribution gives Labor reason to smile, and the Batman byelection results are finalised.
After 16 years in government, the Liberals oust Labor in South Australia – but the biggest disasters of the night were Nick Xenophon and SA-BEST, with Xenophon not even winning his seat.
The polls seem to be swinging back in favour of the Andrews Labor government in Victoria, while in New South Wales it’s neck-and-neck.
Nick Xenophon’s SA-Best slumps while Labor fights the ‘It’s time’ factor in the lead-up to the South Australian election.
The Liberals went from a losing position in Tasmanian polls months ago to a comfortable victory on election day.
The Liberals should win a majority at Saturday’s Tasmanian state election.
The reallocation is short and long Senate terms for Tasmania distorts the 2016 election result.
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