The United Kingdom election will be held on the 7 May. There are a total of 650 House of Commons seats, with members for each seat elected by the simple first past the post (FPTP) system, in which the…
- Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
While Labor improved greatly on the 2011 wipeout result, this was still a thumping win for the Coalition.
The New South Wales election will be held today. Polls close at 6pm local time. All final polls give the Coalition at least a 10-point primary vote lead. The Coalition’s primary vote estimate in the major…
This week we have had three polls from Newspoll, Morgan and Essential with different results. Newspoll gave Labor only a 51-49 lead, a 4% move to the Coalition. Morgan’s headline figure was 56-44 to Labor…
The New South Wales election will be held next Saturday 28 March. The lower house has 93 single-member seats. At the March 2011 election, the Coalition won 69 of these 93 seats, to 20 for Labor, 1 Green…
The New South Wales election will be held in ten days on the 28 March. A new NSW Morgan SMS poll has the Coalition ahead of Labor on primary votes by a crushing 13 points. The full primary votes are 46.5…
This week’s Newspoll had Labor gaining 2% from last fortnight to lead by 55-45 after preferences. However, the normally Labor-favouring Morgan poll had Labor down 1.5% on last fortnight to a 53.5-46.5…
A New South Wales ReachTEL poll taken last Thursday night, from a sample of 1730, has the Coalition leading by 53-47 on respondent allocated preferences. Primary votes, with changes from last week, are…
Today’s Ipsos poll has Labor leading by only 51-49, a 3% gain for the Coalition since the last Ipsos in late January. Primary votes are 42% for the Coalition (up 4), 36% for Labor (down 4) and 12% for…
The New South Wales election will be held in four weeks on the 28 March. The last three NSW polls from Galaxy, Morgan and Newspoll show almost identical primary votes, though they disagree on their Two…
The New South Wales election will be held in just over four weeks on the 28 March. A Galaxy poll has the Coalition leading by 53-47, a 1% gain for Labor since a late January Galaxy. Primary votes are 43…
The New South Wales election will be held in five weeks on the 28 March. A Morgan SMS poll gives the Coalition a 55.5-44.5 lead, a 1.5% gain for the Coalition since mid-January. Primary votes are 45% for…
At the March 2012 election, the Liberal National Party (LNP) won a crushing 78 of the 89 parliamentary seats to just seven for Labor. Two by-election wins during the last term increased Labor’s representation…
We have had five polls released since last Friday night, and Labor leads by at least 55-45 in all of them except Essential, which has a well earned reputation for being slow to change. The previous Newspoll…
At the Queensland election held on the 31 January, Labor won 44 of the 89 parliamentary seats, and Independent Peter Wellington will support Labor. With Wellington’s support, Labor will have 45 of 89 seats…
There is increasing speculation that Tony Abbott could be ousted by the Liberal Party in favour of Malcolm Turnbull when Parliament resumes tomorrow. A ReachTEL poll conducted on Thursday night, from a…
We have had two major opinion polls this week from Galaxy and Ipsos. Both polls have Labor gaining two points, to now lead by a huge 57-43 in Galaxy and 54-46 in Ipsos. Both polls were previously taken…
With 70.6% of the Queensland state election vote counted, the ABC is giving Labor 44 seats to 33 for the Liberal National Party (LNP). Two Katter’s Australian Party (KAP) and one Independent have also…
The Queensland election will be held today. Polls close at 6pm local time (7pm in the south eastern states). We have had final polls from ReachTEL, Galaxy and Newspoll, which all have the Liberal National…
On Monday, Tony Abbott awarded a knighthood to Prince Philip, the Duke of Edinburgh. A ReachTEL poll taken on Tuesday night shows only a modest one-point gain for Labor in voting intentions, but Abbott’s…
The Queensland election will be held in six days on the 31 January. Queensland is the sole Australian state with only one parliamentary chamber; the upper house was abolished by Labor in 1921. The lower…
Today we have had nine individual seat polls for the Queensland election on the 31 January. A Newspoll survey of Ashgrove shows Premier Campbell Newman only trailing Labor’s Kate Jones by a 51-49 margin…
The first Federal polls of the new year have been published, and Morgan shows a reduction in Labor’s lead from December, while Essential shows an increase. We will need to wait for more polls to ascertain…
The Queensland election will be held on 31 January. Two new Queensland polls from Galaxy and Newspoll, both published today, show the Liberal National Party (LNP) gaining support from Other parties. As…
The Queensland election will be held on the 31 January. A ReachTEL poll, taken on the day the Queensland election was called (6 January), shows a 50-50 dead heat between Labor and the Liberal National…
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