All-out war between Israel and Hezbollah could destabilise the whole region, says Middle East expert Simon Mabon.
Articles on Lebanon
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Lebanon’s precarious sectarian balance is tipping as militias take hold again.
More than 240 US personnel died in truck bombing – remembered as the worst day in his career by Gen. Alfred M. Gray Jr., who died on March 20, 2024.
Despite launching an unprecedented attack on Israeli territory, Iran is still trying to avoid a larger war.
Since the war began, Israel has exchanged tit-for-tat cross-border attacks with the Lebanese armed group Hezbollah. It is imperative to prioritize diplomatic solutions that end the violence.
President Reagan said sending troops to Lebanon was his ‘greatest regret.’ Other presidents left office with similar misgivings. Could leaving troops in Syria and Iraq be the next strategic mistake?
A maritime border agreement signed by Lebanon and Israel seemed like a step toward peaceful relations. But now both countries are getting ready for what looks like an unavoidable war.
Iran funds a large network of armed groups across the Middle East as part of its ambition to replace the US as regional power.
The Biden administration has calibrated its strikes so as not to provoke a wider armed conflict in the region.
Iran prefers to engage Israel through its proxies, but the risk of escalation makes this a dangerous strategy.
Iran has expanded its network of partners across the Middle East. But it isn’t a simple case of Tehran dictating the terms of the alliance.
Conflict between Lebanon and Israel looms – it would throw the Lebanese economy further into crisis.
Israel and Hezbollah are engaged in tit-for-tat attacks, but a diplomatic path still exists to avoid an escalation.
Facing opposition to a peace deal within his own cabinet, Israel’s prime minister will find it difficult to agree an international peace deal and hold on to power.
It appears that, for now at least, Iran is happy to allow Gaza to be the epicentre of Middle East conflict. But all that could change quickly.
From Myanmar to Pakistan, these countries have long-simmering conflicts or increasingly dissatisfied publics that could worsen in the new year.
The use of such incendiary devices is only legal under very specific circumstances. A careful examination of the evidence is now required.
Israel is effectively fighting a war on two fronts.
Israel is fighting a broad coalition of armed Palestinian militias in Gaza − and then there’s Hezbollah, just across the border in Lebanon.
Some of the best analysis from our coverage of the war in Gaza.
Top contributors
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Director of Dickinson Program in New Zealand & Associate Professor of Politics at the University of Otago, Dickinson College
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Professor in Sociology, Queen's University Belfast
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Professor of History and Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame
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Senior Lecturer, Politics & International Relations, Monash University
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Emeritus Professor of Middle Eastern Studies, Australian National University; The University of Western Australia; Victoria University
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Professor of Political Science, Sciences Po
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Professor of International Politics, Clinton Institute, University College Dublin
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Lecturer in Comparative Politics, Queen's University Belfast
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Scholar at Centre for the Study of Ethnic Conflict, Queen's University Belfast
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Senior Lecturer
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Aalborg University
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Research Scholar, Middle East Studies, Australian National University
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Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Lund University
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Postdoctoral fellow at Queen's University's Centre for International Policy and Defence (CIDP), Queen's University, Ontario
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Assistant Professor of Migration Studies; Director of the Institute for Migration Studies, Lebanese American University