Democrats’ surprise at the results of the 2024 presidential election is partly a result of pollsters’ inaccuracies and partly of partisan filter bubbles.
Articles on Polling methods
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The vagaries of polling – and, most of all, the vagaries of the US electoral system – mean there is little point attempting to read the tea leaves beyond the broad public sentiment polling captures.
Modern survey research does face challenges from changes in technology and in how people live their increasingly busy lives.
The U.S. midterms revealed a generational shift away from youth voter apathy. The apathetic, in fact, seem to be those trying to accurately measure public opinion using outdated methods.
Top contributors
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PhD Candidate, Political Science, Dalhousie University
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Affiliated Professor in Communication Studies, Emerson College
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Senior Director of Emerson College Polling, Emerson College
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Associate Professor of Communications, Director of Emerson College Polling, Emerson College
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Senior Research Associate, United States Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Assistant Professor of Public Relations, Auburn University
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Assistant Professor of Political Science, Auburn University
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Professor of Political Science, Auburn University