There are no guarantees that pollsters’ troubles in recent elections and popular skepticism about their dependability will be alleviated anytime soon.
Articles on Kamala Harris
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Many people understand rural America through stereotypes. Two scholars who study rural communities bust 6 of those myths, complicating the conventional wisdom.
In her campaign memoir, Kamala Harris reveals her true thoughts on Joe Biden, takes us behind the scenes of her presidential candidacy and dishes the occasional dirt.
This devastating book successfully prosecutes the case of Biden’s decline and the conspiracy to hide it – but underplays Biden’s achievements.
Being on the cliff is a dangerous position: there is a high chance of falling – or being pushed off.
Pollsters’ credibility is constantly at stake. If the industry collectively misses the mark, public trust erodes, and confidence in the system itself is called into question.
Democrats are desperate to retake control of Congress; Republicans want to keep it. To win, it helps to know what kind of voter is willing to cross party lines.
Popular memes debating Harris’ racial authenticity say less about the US’s first Black and Indian vice president and more about Americans’ complex cultural conversations.
For more than two centuries, U.S. presidential politics and presidential lives have found various pathways through and beyond despair, affecting Americans of all political stripes.
DEI backlash ignores the full picture, one where these programs help employees thrive and lead to professional success.
If Democrats benefit from higher turnout and Trump is unpopular, they could heavily defeat Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections.
Democrats’ surprise at the results of the 2024 presidential election is partly a result of pollsters’ inaccuracies and partly of partisan filter bubbles.
By appearing on their shows, Trump effectively secured their personal endorsement and a direct line to their loyal fanbases.
With a history of presidential polls getting it wrong − sometimes very wrong − how did this year’s polling fare? Some US pollsters did better, but a Brazilian pollster did the best.
The Democrats’ loss of the White House has provoked major soul-searching among party members. A scholar recommends a review of history to avoid catastrophizing.
The U.S. presidential election campaign and the Irish referendum on abortion in 2018 raise questions about whether a political messaging strategy focused on ‘real men’ is effective.
Disco classics, patriotic songs and celebrity endorsements featured heavily in the US election. Politicians can use music to evoke strong emotions and bring people together behind them.
Now that almost all votes have been counted it’s clear how close this race really was.
Inflation is politically radioactive, and voters have a very long memory for it, as Democrats found when Donald Trump won and Kamala Harris lost the presidential election.
The votes for Trump added up in Dearborn, Dearborn Heights and Hamtramck.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Adjunct Senior Fellow, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University
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Teaching Fellow in US politics and international security, University of Portsmouth
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Professor of Communication Studies, Colorado State University
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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James S. Sherman Professor of Government, Hamilton College
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Non-resident Senior Fellow, United States Study Centre, University of Sydney
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice Chancellor's Fellow and Professorial Fellow, Institute for Human Security and Social Change, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in US History, College of Human Sciences and Culture, Flinders University
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Professor, School of Public Policy and Administration, York University, Canada
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Professor in the Department of Government, University of Essex
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Lecturer in International Studies and Politics, Ulster University; Queen's University Belfast
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Westminster College