Conflicting polls can make it seem like Americans back Trump’s deportation plan. A psychologist and survey researcher explains how to make sense of the numbers.
Articles on US public opinion
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Democrats’ surprise at the results of the 2024 presidential election is partly a result of pollsters’ inaccuracies and partly of partisan filter bubbles.
Hold your breath and make sure you vote, because the result is likely to be a squeaker.
Modern survey research does face challenges from changes in technology and in how people live their increasingly busy lives.
Donald Trump often speaks of an America in decline. Kamala Harris counters with a rival emotional appeal centered around excitement and joy.
Most efforts to project how well a candidate will do in an election are based largely on factors over which presidents have little to no control.
The more ambivalent a person is about a political issue, the more likely they are to support violence and other extreme actions relating to that issue.
Increasingly, the media, pollsters and pundits are focusing on independent voters and their effects on election outcomes.
It’s been more than 20 years since the US invaded Iraq, but the invasion still provides a cautionary tale about getting involved in an expensive war abroad.
Top contributors
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Professor and Co-Director of the Center for an Independent and Sustainable Democracy, Arizona State University
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Professor of Political Science and Director of the Weidenbaum Center, Washington University in St. Louis
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Professor of Psychology, The Ohio State University
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Professor Emeritus of Political Science and International Relations., USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
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Postdoctoral Fellow in Consumer Behavior, University of Virginia
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Postdoctoral Fellow, University of Pennsylvania
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Affiliated Professor in Communication Studies, Emerson College
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Senior Director of Emerson College Polling, Emerson College
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Associate Professor of Communications, Director of Emerson College Polling, Emerson College
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Director of the Quinnipiac Poll, Quinnipiac University
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Assistant Professor of Public Relations, Auburn University
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Assistant Professor of Political Science, Auburn University
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Professor of Political Science, Auburn University
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Professor Emeritus in Psychology, Clemson University