Prime ministers aren’t lasting long in the job these days – and data shows that the UK is slipping on some measures of governance.
- Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
Reform UK’s popularity has dipped in the last year.
Fifty years of data from the US suggests that consumer confidence is reflected in an administration’s performance in elections.
Even before the US-Israeli war on Iran this year, many of America’s allies had a lack of confidence in the Trump administration.
UK prime ministers today are about as secure in their jobs as football managers.
The US president has been bitterly criticising the alliance in recent weeks over its reluctance to join the war in Iran.
Nigel Farage has criticised polling company YouGov for showing less Reform UK support than other agencies.
A majority of Americans are against the war, according to a new poll. This has implications for the mid-term elections in November.
Polling byelections is notoriously difficult so to predict a winner, you need to combine a variety of data.
Voters tend to think about prime ministers less than we might assume when elections roll around.
However you cut it, the big parties have lost significant ground to Reform.
Available data suggests the Democratic Party will win ten seats and gain control of the House of Representatives in the midterms.
Pesquisas revelam mudanças nas atitudes em relação à ameaça das mudanças climáticas em todo o mundo.
Polling reveals changing attitudes to the threat of climate change around the world.
Welsh identity is strong in Caerphilly, even by Welsh standards. This should have been factored into polling.
Labour and the Liberal Democrat members are the most aligned with the average voter in the UK.
An expert digs into why the US public thinks inflation is so high.
National polling masks a hidden truth: people are very undecided about how they’d vote in their own constituency.
Radical parties are now more numerous than any other category in 31 countries.
The American public are not obviously rallying around Trump’s decision to bomb Iran.
The Musk v Trump media battle went very public, but polls just after the scrap showing that Americans felt more favourably towards the president than Musk.
The rising popularity of Nigel Farage’s party is an unprecedented threat to the major parties.
Donald Trump has lost popularity in the past few months – but how much is his voting base being maintained by media support?
The way an MRP poll is produced makes it of limited value so far out from an election.
How far do American citizens support Donald Trump’s position on Ukraine and Russia?
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