Un primer ministro muy debilitado y un partido dividido o en estado de rebeldía no parecen un buen caldo de cultivo para lograr una quinta victoria electoral en 2024.
- Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
With 40% of his MPs voting against his leadership, how realistic are the prime minister’s hopes for survival?
The plan to cut 91,000 civil service jobs could make service delivery impossible after decades of decline.
There is a strong correlation between local election results and general election results two years later. If that pattern holds, Johnson’s parliamentary majority is at risk.
A new survey shows a strong link between trusting the prime minister and trusting the government, Parliament and political parties.
As household budgets come under strain, so does support for governments, as Boris Johnson should note.
Polling trends suggest more letters could make their way to the 1922 Committee.
La crisis del Partido Conservador Británico ha empeorado con los desmanes de su propio líder, Boris Johnson. Parece que una de las salidas más airosas de esta crisis pasaría por destituir al primer ministro.
The Conservative Party isn’t polling too badly, all things considered, so MPs may think it’s time to boot out the prime minister.
Backbenchers are rattling their sabres and a brutal byelection loss has made it all so much worse.
Should the chancellor cut taxes to win votes ahead of the next election? It’s tempting but a lesson from history shows what happens when you go too far.
At first glance, the polls suggest the government isn’t feeling the pressure. But there’s another way to look at the situation.
Why the argument that authoritarian regimes are better at handling pandemics isn’t that simple.
The gradual waning of the ‘vaccine boost’ combined with tactical progressive voting and local issues to sink the Conservatives in a ‘blue wall’ seat.
Very few people in Scotland identify as ‘European’ – so EU membership is not the big draw some might hope.
More voters trust the Conservatives with the pandemic – and the pandemic is the most important issue of the day.
New data shows how unhappy and polarised America has become – due largely to COVID-19.
A survey of US voters shows that – on their most important issue, COVID-19 – the US president fared particularly badly.
There isn’t much political capital in celebrating stock market gains if the real economy is still hurting.
History shows that governing parties lose support when jobs are lost.
The virus threatens our health both directly and indirectly, placing the future of global happiness in serious jeopardy.
The Prime Minister is banking on people forgetting about his latest scandal by the time the election rolls around. But a far more serious threat lies ahead.
Donald Trump’s job approval ratings may be holding, but consumer confidence matters for his re-election prospects.
There is speculation over what the PM actually needs to do to hold on to his new voters.
The leadership insists the manifesto was not the problem in 2019 – but are they sure?
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