Polling shows approval ratings for the US president has shifted with the introduction of new tariffs.
- Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
Donald Trump’s popularity is not much different when you compare older and younger voters.
Nigel Farage is engaged in a very public spat with Rupert Lowe, one of his MPs. But it hasn’t dented Reform’s polling. Here’s why.
A dip into historical data shows that the stock market has responded differently under Republican and Democrat presidents.
Investing in infrastructure and skills is essential, but social capital shoudn’t be overlooked as a driver of growth.
Looking at how votes were distributed in 2024 offers a more reassuring picture.
Donald Trump’s personality-led politics means it is hard to predict what he’ll do next.
What a century of US presidential elections tells us about the impact of the economy on voting.
The two parties are actually fishing in slightly different ponds.
The detail of polling shows some interesting detail about who is voting and why.
Spending to rebuild would be the politically sound move at this juncture.
We had more MRP polls than ever before in 2024 but accuracy varied greatly between producers.
An expected low turnout could threaten Labour’s poll lead.
Britain’s centre left has been divided since the end of the first world war – now it is the centre right that has been split.
Data from Ukip’s performance in 2017 shows that once a certain tipping point is passed, Reform is indeed a significant threat to the Tories.
The rule that people vote with the economy in mind stretches back across a government’s lifespan, not just the few weeks before the election.
A look back at how much the dial has shifted during the short, official campaign period in elections since 1945.
Hispanic and Latino voters have tended to vote Democrat in previous US presidential elections.
The prime minister is being optimistic at best with his reading – but these results to suggest Labour’s win might not be as decisive as polls currently suggest.
Local election results are strong predictors of general elections held in the same or following year.
Young voters have not always swung in different ways to older generations, as a look at historical data shows.
Labour’s Muslim vote is concentrated in safe seats – but with an electoral mountain to climb, no contest can be taken for granted.
Les campagnes électorales sont de plus en plus coûteuses aux États-Unis. Celle de cette année devrait battre tous les records en termes de sommes récoltées par les deux principaux candidats.
Research shows that US campaign spending in elections tends to mobilise people to vote rather than to switch support.
A major study of 60,000 people looked at who among the US public would favour aid to Ukraine.
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