Just a few short weeks ago, it looked as though it was clear who was going to win the Scottish independence referendum. Although the polls persistently disagreed with each other as to how far it was behind…
Articles on Opinion polls
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Political campaigners can often be heard complaining that opinion polls do not reflect what they hear on the doorstep. Arguing that they have spoken to many more people than the 1,000 or so typically interviewed…
The latest ICM poll made delightful reading for the yes campaign the other day. It showed a split of 52/48 against independence (42/39 once we factor the “don’t knows” back in), suggesting that the yes…
Opinion polls can have a profound influence on the atmosphere of a campaign. If they suggest that one side is well ahead, the media loses interest. The politicians get less space and perhaps airtime, while…
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research
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Professor of Statistics, Queensland University of Technology
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Professor, Future Fellow and Head of Statistics at UNSW, and a Deputy Director of the Australian Centre of Excellence in Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers (ACEMS), UNSW
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Assistant lecturer, University of Groningen
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Professor of Communication, Cardiff University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Professor of Political Science, University of Edinburgh
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Senior Research Director (Social Attitudes), ScotCen Social Research
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Manchester
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Professor and Program Head, Justice Health Research Program, UNSW
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Emeritus Professor of Sociology, University of Technology Sydney
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Professor of Government, University of Essex