Investor loans are on the increase again, causing pause for the regulators.
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Brexit and Trump pave the way for more financial market uncertainty.
My Christmas fiscal wish is that in 2017 both sides of politics treat the Australian public like adults.
The US Fed meets expectations for a rate cut, Australia’s unemployment rate heads upwards again, and all eyes look to the mid year budget update.
US GDP data points to a US rate rise in December, and Australia’s housing affordability problem won’t be helped by current declining building approvals.
Construction slumps to its lowest level since 2010, and the US Fed remains divided on its next interest rate hike.
Global markets are spooked - and with good reason.
The Australian economy continues to show some positive signs, but there are pockets of weakness and cause for concern every month.
The odds are the Fed will raise rates once and the RBA will cut once before the end of the year.
The Australian economy continues to deliver mixed, but on the whole positive, signals.
The RBA leaves rates on hold, Australia gets a GDP growth spurt from pre-election spending, and the IMF lays the groundwork for a lowering of global growth expectations.
All in all this was a fairly positive week for global economies.
Central banks around the world are struggling with the failure of low (or negative) interest rates to breathe life back into ailing economies.
Lower interest rates will only have the stimulatory effect required if they are passed on to borrowers.
All economic data is pointing to disappointing global growth.
Australia needs to change its national accounting system to be more like the private sector.
Ratings agency S&P seems unconvinced of the Australian government’s ability to reduce the budget deficit.
Vital Signs is a weekly economic wrap from UNSW economics professor and Harvard PhD Richard Holden (@profholden). Vital Signs aims to contextualise weekly economic events and cut through the noise of the…
GDP growth that doesn’t translate into income is no cause for celebration.
Worse than expected business investment in both manufacturing and mining provides another nod towards secular stagnation.
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