Storms like 2026’s Hurricane Polo that rapidly intensify can catch communities off guard and leave little time to prepare or evacuate. Being able to forecast those risks can save lives.
Articles on Hurricane forecasting
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Cooler ocean temperatures east of the islands typically keep major hurricanes away, but El Niño is helping fuel this year’s risks.
A hurricane scientist explains the technology forecasters rely on to keep people safe and help communities all along the Atlantic coast know when to evacuate.
NOAA’s preseason forecast is the 30,000-foot view of what’s likely. Here’s what forecasters will be watching for over the weeks and months ahead.
Current forecasts suggest a warm tropical Pacific will be interfering with what could otherwise be a ferocious Atlantic hurricane season.
Much of the state is at risk of heavy rainfall, and the coast could see devastating storm surge, particularly around Tampa Bay.
To get a sense of how bad the 2021 hurricane season will be, keep an eye on the African monsoon, ocean temperatures and a possible late-blooming La Niña.
Ccoronavirus has put emergency responders and resources under extreme pressure all over the world just as the hurricane season approaches.
Top contributors
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Adjunct professor, Flagler College
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Postdoctoral research associate, University of Edinburgh
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Assistant Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, Iowa State University
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Associate Professor of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Fellow of the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder
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Associate Professor of Meteorology and Climate Dynamics, Penn State
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Professor of Atmospheric Science, University at Albany, State University of New York
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Assistant Professor of Environmental Studies, University of Tampa
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Associate Professor of Atmospheric Science, Indiana University