Unlike Hamas, Hezbollah is a large, well-equipped army with the capability to badly hurt Israel.
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A full-blown war between Israel and Hezbollah would likely set the entire region on fire, involving Iran and its proxies, and could drag the US into direct confrontation with Tehran.
Hezbollah’s recent release of drone footage taken inside Israel appears designed to send a message that the armed group can cause serious damage in the event of a full-scale war.
Israel has cogent reasons for wanting to eliminate the threat from Hezbollah, but previous interventions in Lebanon have come at a cost.
All-out war between Israel and Hezbollah could destabilise the whole region, says Middle East expert Simon Mabon.
Recent events in the Middle East reveal internal divisions in both the Israeli and Palestinian leaderships.
As with the Good Friday agreement in 1998, both sides in the Gaza war need to negotiate in good faith – but this is sorely lacking.
Arguably, the more specific and detailed terms of this resolution is a positive compared to previous resolutions, but actions speak louder than words.
The US is relying more on its alliances in the Middle East in order to pull back a bit. This will likely continue no matter who is in the White House next year.
Hezbollah’s evolving capabilities are taking Israel by surprise.
Why has the ICC indictment of Israeli and Hamas leaders drawn so much fire? Understanding the notion of moral equivalence might help explain why.
Attempts to establish justice too early may complicate efforts to achieve peace.
Israel will withhold Palestinian tax revenues from the Palestinian Authority ‘until further notice’, and not for the first time.
The brutality of Israel’s assault on Gaza and the failure to secure the release of the October 7 hostages have left the Israeli prime minister with few friends domestically or internationally.
Recognition of Palestinian statehood was previously held out as an incentive to completing peace negotiations. But that’s changed now, and New Zealand should consider changing its position too.
The prosecutor at the International Criminal Court publicized his request for warrants for Israeli and Hamas leaders. Publicly, Canada’s position aligns with Israel and the United States.
Israelis’ and Jewish people’s long-held feeling of persecution, dating back to biblical times, contributes to most Israelis’ desire to continue the war in Gaza.
Middle East expert, Simon Mabon, answers our questions about what this key development might mean for the prospects of peace in the region.
The Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, is opposed to a two-state solution, but many ordinary Israelis and Palestinians don’t feel the same way.
The ICC is seeking arrest warrants for Israeli and Hamas leaders that are suspected of committing war crimes in Gaza.
Top contributors
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Research Scholar, Middle East Studies, Australian National University
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Professor of International Politics, Clinton Institute, University College Dublin
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Professor of International Relations at UCL | Associate Fellow on the Middle East at Chatham House, UCL
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Professor of History and Peace Studies, University of Notre Dame
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Associate Professor of Practice of Public Policy, University of Michigan
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Senior Lecturer in Peace and Conflict Studies, University of Sydney
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Emeritus Professor of Law, University of East London
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Professor of Law, University of Waikato
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Sessional Academic, School of Social Sciences, Macquarie University
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Senior Lecturer
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Senior Lecturer in International Politics, City St George's, University of London
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Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Professor of Israel Studies, University of California, Los Angeles
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Lecturer, Department of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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Professor of International Relations, Lancaster University
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Visiting Scholar of Global Affairs, Northwestern University