What are the odds of the end of humanity? There’s no real way to know.
Articles on Bayesian probability
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Alien hunters should learn from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
To be useful in high-stakes situations, AI needs to understand cause and effect – and the limits of its knowledge.
The political content in our personal feeds not only represents the world and politics to us. It creates new, sometimes “alternative”, realities.
One in a million or one in ten? Mathematics can help us work out the odds of whether recent sightings of UFOs are really alien spaceships.
After more than a month of testing without a single positive case, the probability of coronavirus lurking in Victoria is vanishingly small.
Top contributors
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Honorary Research Fellow, School of Cybernetics, Australian National University
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Lead Research Scientist, University of Technology Sydney
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Director, University of Technology Sydney
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Professor in Philosophy of Science, Durham University
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Professor in the School of Philosophy, North-West University
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ARC Laurete Fellow and Professor for Theoretical Systems Biology, The University of Melbourne
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Industry Professor of Emerging Technology and Co-Director, Human Technology Institute, University of Technology Sydney
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James Martin Research Fellow, Future of Humanity Institute & Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
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Professor of Data Science, Bond University
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Director of Technology UTS Human Technology Institute, Professor of Mathematcis and Statistics, University of Technology Sydney
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Reader in Astrobiology, University of Edinburgh