The danger of treating COVID-19 as an astronomically rare and improbable event is that we will treat it as such and fail to prepare for the next pandemic. And there will be another pandemic.
Articles on risk estimates
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Recent reports of dangerous side effects and even early death from heartburn medications have led some to question whether this is the right medication for them.
Often there is tendency to overreact to risk estimates, so it’s worth unpacking what these really mean.


