A key challenge for the Federal Reserve is that higher gas prices are inflationary, but they also reduce households’ spending power and dampen growth.
Articles on Recession
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An economist offers practical steps families can take to improve their financial resilience, starting with the debt they carry right now.
Economic activity is still solid for now – but these are the risks ahead.
US health care policy will remain fractured until lawmakers address the core question of who is responsible for health care costs.
Former president Muhammadu Buhari’s administration will be remembered for its promises and failures.
From super changes to avoiding recession, federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers joins the podcast to discuss the government’s priorities when Parliament returns in July.
Americans are increasingly worried about the economy. Research shows that taking steps to improve your ‘financial efficacy’ can help alleviate some hardships.
Financial markets have reacted very badly to the upending of global trade. But that doesn’t mean you should panic.
US stock market left reeling after Trump’s ‘chaotic’ trade agenda prompts downturn in economic outlook.
Interest rates are due to drop again, and the government is talking up recovery. But unemployment data suggest deeper problems in the nature and quality of the job market.
From trade protectionism to protracted conflicts and economic volatility, there will likely be little respite from political turmoil in 2025.
Treasury’s half year update tells the story of a sluggish economy and weaker tax take. While 2025 could be the year New Zealand’s economic fortunes lift, it depends on a number of factors.
Growth is painfully slow, according to data released on Wednesday. But this could well be seen by next year as the point when Australia started to move into positive territory.
Despite interest rates coming down, New Zealand’s economy is being pushed further into recession by government austerity measures. Basic macro-economic analysis shows why.
Any mention of the ‘R’ word can trigger anxiety. But not all definitions of recession are the same, and not being in one doesn’t necessarily mean people aren’t feeling economic pain.
We should be cautious about the risk of a recession in the US, but we aren’t guaranteed one. At any rate, Australia’s own fortunes are much more tied to the Chinese economy and commodity markets.
Individual Australians are in a recession, with per-person income slipping since mid-2022. Interest rates are falling overseas. So forget rate hikes: the RBA’s next move is likely to be down.
In normal times, a boost in government spending would boost inflation. The budget papers show these are not normal times.
New Zealand’s history of inflation, recessions and unemployment offer clues to what might happen next. Coupled with global events, the outlook is not promising.
With voter confidence already low, the National-led coalition will have difficulty fulfilling pre-election promises while delivering a prudent budget in May.
Top contributors
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University
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Associate Professor of Finance, Mississippi State University
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Associate Professor of Business, Boston University
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Program Director, Housing and Economic Security, Grattan Institute
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sydney
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Honorary Research Fellow, City Political Economy Research Centre, City St George's, University of London
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Senior lecturer, Canberra School of Government, University of Canberra
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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School of Social Sciences, Monash University
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Associate Professor of Economics, West Virginia University
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Associate Professor of Economics, Pace University
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Professor of Finance and Business Economics, University of Southern California
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Professor & Greenbaum/Ferguson/NJAR Endowed Chair in Real Estate Policy, Monmouth University