Recent political polls in New Zealand and elsewhere have consistently failed to reflect eventual outcomes. Voters and pundits alike should avoid reading them too literally.
Articles on NZ Labour Party
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An outbreak of ‘Chris-mania’ seems unlikely, but maybe taking personality and heat out of the mix will benefit Labour in election year.
Leaving on her own terms may be Jacinda Ardern’s final triumph, and one more part of a rich, complex political legacy.
Ardern’s resignation will come as a shock to many, given the international reputation she earned over the past five years. But it’s less of a surprise for close watchers of NZ politics.
The 2023 general election is already shaping up as an MMP classic. Add the All Blacks’ World Cup fortunes to the mix and the only thing to expect is the unexpected.
Anxious not to be easy targets for their pro-business opponents, labour parties everywhere now run on a ‘thin ideological platform’. Anthony Albanese’s ALP is no exception.
As the government approaches the mid-term mark, is the protest in parliament grounds a PR boost for Jacinda Ardern or a sign of declining political consensus?
The National Party’s internal tensions have played out in a succession of leadership changes. Would the political right be better off formally divided, as it once was?
Managing the competing demands of a pandemic inevitably erodes Jacinda Ardern’s political brand – but changes to Labour’s leadership rules don’t necessarily signal the end of an era.
One year on, the NZ Election Survey crunches the numbers on what drove Jacinda Ardern’s unprecedented 2020 victory.
More countries, including a post-Brexit UK, are looking at joining the CPTPP free trade agreement. But the secrecy around negotiations makes serious analysis virtually impossible.
Half of Jacinda Ardern’s ten most senior ministers are now women, lifting NZ’s global gender ranking from 50th to 26th.
The new cabinet may be diverse and inclusive, but Labour also has unprecedented executive and legislative control.
As the country’s first ever African MP, and only the second refugee to win a seat, Ibrahim Omer is ideally placed to tackle the big problems facing immigrant communities.
If the pattern on election night holds, 2020 will be the most dramatic election in 100 years in terms of votes shifting between major parties.
The people have spoken, and MMP has delivered the right result — even if it means Labour governs alone.
In politics, what lifts you up can drag you down. To avoid that, Jacinda Ardern’s Labour government will have to examine its political soul.
Jacinda Ardern and Labour are returned to power in a landslide, making New Zealand political history in the process.
With more votes cast before election day than on it, late strategic voting could make all the difference.
It was a campaign like no other, and while there were missed opportunities and lapses of judgement, the fact New Zealanders are voting in a safe and fair election is reason enough to celebrate.
Top contributors
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Research Associate, Public Policy Institute, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Professor of Politics, Te Kunenga ki Pūrehuroa – Massey University
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Politics and Policy, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Professor of Political Science, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Professor of Politics, University of Canterbury
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Director of the Roy McKenzie Centre for the Study of Families and Children, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Emeritus Professor of Law, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Senior Lecturer, Political Science and International Relations, University of Canterbury
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Research Associate, Public Policy Institute, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Postgraduate student, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Lecturer, Aotahi School of Māori and Indigenous Studies, University of Canterbury
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Executive Dean, City St George's, University of London
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Senior Lecturer in Social Sciences and Public Policy, Auckland University of Technology
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PhD Candidate, Department of Political Science and International Relations, University of Canterbury