According to the latest polls, if an election were held now, Labor would probably lose.
Articles on Newspoll
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With voters still feeling the pinch from the cost of living crisis, the government in general and the prime minister in particular are dipping in the polls.
With a federal election due in the first half of 2025, the Coalition is gaining on Labor.
The latest Newspoll has bad news for the Labor government, but it is out of step with other recent polls.
Australians still nominate cost of living and housing as the issues that worry them most.
The two-party preferred vote is tied again in Newspoll, but the prime minister’s net approval continues to slide.
Voter concerns about inflation and cost of living continue to keep the government’s polling numbers down.
While Labor has a small bump in the polls, the prime minister’s net approval rating has hit its lowest point this year. But voters are more disapproving of Peter Dutton.
Labor’s. fortunes continue to slide in the wake of the failed Voice to Parliament referendum.
Labor had a 52-48% edge over the Coalition in the latest Newspoll, while Albanese’s net approval jumped six points.
The increasing cost of living may be denting support for the Labor government.
While it was clear the Liberals were set to govern in minority weeks ago, the end of the vote count leaves the party with one less seat than expected, making forming government harder.
Inflation and the cost of living continue to eat away at Labor’s polling advantage.
Polls aren’t favouring state Labor parties. Based on the latest figures, Labor would struggle to form government in Tasmania, while support for the party in Queensland has dipped.
Ahead of the Dunkley byelection on March 2, Labor takes a hit in key polls, but Anthony Albanese’s personal approval is still ahead of Peter Dutton’s.
While two-party preferred polling is steady, a majority of Australians support Labor’s changes to the stage 3 tax cuts.
The summer break hasn’t changed the Freshwater polling figures for the two major parties federally. Overseas, the former US President is in a strong position ahead of the Iowa caucus.
Latest polling suggests Labor’s position might be improving slightly, perhaps due to increased optimism about the state of the economy.
The Labor government’s once-healthy lead has crashed since the October referendum.
The slumping polls show how damaging the heavy defeat of the Voice referendum and continuing cost of living pressures have been to the prime minister and Labor.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Vice-Chancellor and President, University of Canberra
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Emeritus professor, Southern Cross University
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Professor, the McKinnon Institute for Political Leadership, Monash University
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Professor of Politics, Griffith University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Tony Walker AM is a Friend of The Conversation.
Director, La Trobe University
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Senior Lecturer in Clinical Ethics and Health Law, University of Newcastle
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Professor, Canberra School of Government, University of Canberra
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia