New Zealand’s system of managed quarantine at the border may soon be less important, but we could well need to stand it up again quickly if a new COVID-19 variant emerges.
Articles on New Zealand Delta outbreak
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New Zealand has managed to stamp out onward transmission of the Delta variant, which means it’s not dealing with a “double epidemic” and has a better chance to tackle Omicron’s spread.
A model of a “virtual” Aotearoa shows even a few new connections will lead to a complex web of transmission which could fuel the spread of the Delta outbreak.
Whenever the government reduces alert levels, it shifts some of the responsibility for managing the outbreak to the public. We need to enjoy the small additional freedoms responsibly.
Daily case numbers are trending down and the reproductive number is about 0.4, close to what it was the last time New Zealand was under the strictest lockdown. It shows the restrictions are working.
Several superspreading events had likely infected more than 200 people before New Zealand’s Delta outbreak was detected and the country went into a strict lockdown last week.
Top contributors
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Adjunct professor, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Professor in Applied Mathematics, University of Canterbury
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Researcher and lecturer in Spatial Data Science, University of Canterbury
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Project Lead - COVID Modeling Aotearoa; Senior Lecturer - Department of Physics, University of Auckland; Principal Investigator - Te Pūnaha Matatini, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Research fellow, University of Canterbury
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Project Lead - COVID Modelling Aotearoa; Senior Researcher - ME Research; Principal Investigator - Te Pūnaha Matatini, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Research scientist, Manaaki Whenua - Landcare Research
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Research scientist in mathematical modelling, Manaaki Whenua - Landcare Research
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Senior Lecturer in Epidemiology, University of Canterbury
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Te Pūnaha Matatini Post-Doctoral Research Fellow, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Postdoctoral Fellow, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Associate Professor, University of Canterbury
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Associate Professor in Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau