Pollsters’ credibility is constantly at stake. If the industry collectively misses the mark, public trust erodes, and confidence in the system itself is called into question.
Articles on Nate Silver
Displaying all articles
As the US election comes to a head, polls still show a close race.
When it comes to the Supreme Court, progressives are now in the position where conservatives found themselves for many years. They’re on the outside looking in.
Polling for the 2022 midterms was more accurate than the dramatically wrong predictions of 2016 and 2020, leading one pollster to boast, ‘The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated.’
There was a time when well-known journalists resented preelection polls and didn’t mind saying so. One even said he felt “secret glee and relief when the polls go wrong.” Why did they feel this way?
Swinburne political scientist Bryan Cranton looks at why so many experts got the US Election so wrong
People around the world were shocked when Hillary Clinton, ahead in many polls, didn’t end up the U.S.‘ president-elect. But that doesn’t mean the polls themselves were wrong.
This week the “mother of parliaments” faces a general election in the UK. The ‘first past the post’ electoral system means we can’t predict the result with certainty, nor expect it to match the vote.
The digital era has led to increasing challenges for western and traditional news media business models. Media outlets are facing steady declines in revenue, while the migration of advertising online has…
Top contributors
-
Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
-
Assistant Professor of Mathematics -- Statistics, Knox College
-
Senior Lecturer, Department of Languages and Linguistics, La Trobe University
-
Lead Academic Teacher - Politics & Social Science (Swinburne Online), Swinburne University of Technology
-
Professor of Political Science, Trinity College
-
Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
-
Senior Lecturer in Communication and Media, University of Sydney
-
Adjust Professor and Pollster, Johns Hopkins University