The challenge is whether the RBA can bring inflation under control without causing a recession.
Articles on Michele Bullock
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The jobless rate hasn’t been this high since November 2021. But this is why it’s unlikely to stop the Reserve Bank from lifting interest rates next Tuesday.
The central bank has also forecast higher inflation and slower economic growth.
The second rate hike this year will add another $100 a month to the average mortgage, just as fuel prices are surging.
Former RBA insiders say past rates decisions have been influenced by the housing market.
The RBA is focused on when inflation can be brought back under control.
A horror stretch starting in 2020 saw an entire decade of real wage growth reversed in just three years. It’s a long way back up yet.
See what economists are forecasting for rate cuts – or even rises – in 2026.
Behind the closed doors of the Cabinet Room, the treasurer is pushing for ‘concrete ideas’ that won’t cost Australia more.
The Reserve Bank faces a delicate balancing act. The timing of the next rate cut is not guaranteed.
Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock needs to keep the bank’s focus on unemployment as well as inflation.
The Reserve Bank’s surprise decision to hold rates in July shocked the market. But a new survey finds its credibility has actually improved.
The surprise decision to hold rates isn’t a change in direction – it’s a pause for more information.
For the first time, women lead Australia’s key economic institutions. The moment matters because research shows women think about the economy differently from men.
Central banks around the world are faced with conflicting forces as the tariff wars continue. The Reserve Bank of Australia has war-gamed how it could play out.
Inflation is back under control, but now the Reserve Bank is concerned about the risks of a global economic slowdown.
The inflation picture is improving, but the central bank is worried about the global economic backdrop.
Governor Michele Bullock might need her flak jacket when she fronts the media next Tuesday after the bank’s two-day board meeting. Following the United States cutting interest rate by half a percentage point.
Jim Chalmers also confirmed he will visit China later this month.
A lot of Australians are hoping there might be an interest rate cut at the next Reserve Bank board meeting but they shouldn’t hold their breath.
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Associate Professor, School of Economics, University of Sydney
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Senior lecturer, Canberra School of Government, University of Canberra
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Adjunct Fellow in Economics, Macquarie University
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Senior Researcher, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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Post-Doctoral Research Associate, University of Sydney
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Director, Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University
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Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Political Economy and Social Theory, University of Sydney
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Associate Professor of Economics, Adelaide University
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Associate Professor of Economics, Macquarie University