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In 2024, pollsters underestimated Donald Trump’s popular support for a third consecutive presidential election. Manuel Augusto Moreno/Getty Images

No cheery time for election pollsters in run‑up to US midterms

There are no guarantees that pollsters’ troubles in recent elections and popular skepticism about their dependability will be alleviated anytime soon.
Voters of all ages come to climate policies with different views, and those views are not always tied to party affiliation. Scott Olson/Getty Images

5 lessons from 20 years of climate surveys: Political party matters, but it doesn’t explain everything

Why would a young Republican back solar but reject a carbon tax? Twenty years of survey data shows climate opinion is more complex than party labels suggest.
Political surveys conducted for CNN and other major media outlets can shape the nation’s perception of a presidential race. Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

Why CNN is changing up its polling for 2024

Polls help set the public’s expectations in a presidential race. In 2020, presidential polls overall were the worst in 40 years. No misfire was more striking than CNN’s. Will CNN do better in 2024?
A same-sex marriage supporter waves a rainbow flag outside the Supreme Court in 2015. Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Congress is considering making same‑sex marriage federal law – a political scientist explains how this issue became less polarized over time

The U.S. House of Representatives recently voted for a bill that would federally protect same-sex marriage – and 47 Republicans signed on, too. Same-sex marriage isn’t the partisan issue it once was.
Voters wait to cast their ballots Tuesday at Johnston Elementary School in the Wilkinsburg neighborhood of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

A Q&A with a historian of presidential polls

An expert on the history of polling has a first take on how pollsters did this year.

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