The result in Warringah can be seen as being fought on local issues, where the former prime minister had come to be out of step with his constituents.
Articles on Federal election 2019
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The Coalition should not use this unexpected win to allow itself to be complacent and drift. It needs to work out its agenda for the next three years and how it allows internal debate.
Now that the Coalition has won the federal election, how will it meet its campaign promises on taxes, the environment, education, health and infrastructure?
The outcome is completely opposite to the polls, which all had Labor ahead going into the election, albeit narrowly and with some tightening during the campaign.
This result, which is vastly different from what opinion polls were indicating, shows the probability of “herding” in polls, and also emphasises that betting odds are to be treated with great caution.
How did the numbers of election 2019 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
No present leader touches Hawke for charisma, popularity or communications skills, even leaving aside the larrikin history.
Online bookies can tap into the wisdom of the crowd better than pollsters.
Leigh Sullivan speaks to Michelle Grattan about the week in politics.
After five long weeks, the campaign is drawing to a close, with the polls still pointing to a narrow Labor win, with lots of unknowns in the detail.
Yes, most jobseekers who receive Newstart payments are also eligible for other benefits. But in many cases this is just a few dollars a fortnight to help with expenses such as electricity bills.
Analysis of tweets from the election campaign reveal two key trends: independents are organising, and embattled Liberal candidates are having to take the fight to their rivals.
Recent polling suggests the race is tightening. Then again, opinion polling suggested the recent Victorian state election would also be a close affair and it turned out to be a Labor landslide.
Voters disagree on importance of climate change, universally dislike current energy and environment policy.
Our tax system helped create Palmer.
Like Whitlam, Shorten is selling a huge bag of promises (including in those familiar Whitlam areas of health, education, environment and infrastructure - climate change is a central addition).
Negative gearing would cause few problems if we better taxed capital gains.
Innovation and industry policy is receiving the least attention just when it may matter most to our economic future.
Here are the promises and policies of the Coalition, Labor, the Greens, One Nation and more.
Both major parties have promised more money to help boost apprenticeship numbers, including by providing incentives to employers. But history shows this isn’t the best way to spend public dollars.
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor, Politics and Public Policy, Flinders University
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Senior Lecturer of Australian Politics, Murdoch University
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Adjunct Professor at the University of Canberra, University of Canberra
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Adjunct Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Policy Futures, University of Queensland, Adjunct Principal Research Fellow, Cairns Institute, James Cook University
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Scientia Professor of Economics, UNSW
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Visiting Fellow, Tax and Transfer Policy Institute, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Advancing Journalism, The University of Melbourne
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Program Director, Housing and Economic Security, Grattan Institute
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Professor, Australian Studies Institute, Australian National University
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Professor of Political Science; Director, Tasmanian Policy Exchange, University of Tasmania
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Lecturer, The University of Queensland