A definition of happiness must include unhappiness and chance if it’s to have real meaning.
Articles on Chance
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A century ago, the French writer and poet André Breton penned his ‘Manifesto of Surrealism,’ launching an art movement known for creating bizarre hybrids of words and images.
Early writers on probability had explained how the ‘house advantage’ didn’t need to be large for a gambling enterprise to profit enormously. But gamblers and gambling operators were slow to catch on.
Monte Carlo simulations can predict different potential outcomes because they provide for the presence of random variables or elements.
A study shows that a select group of NBA players really do go on hot streaks by making more shots in a row than statistics suggest they should.
Philosopher Nick Bostrom’s theory suggests there’s a one-in-three probability we live in a simulation.
The Tim Hortons coffee chain has made some changes to its iconic Roll up the Rim contest, including the addition of “digital rolls.” A statistician explains how this changes the odds of winning.
With some big prizes are on offer in the latest competition from the fast food giant, best to see what the numbers say.
Trust Me, I’m an Expert: Risk
CC BY45.3 MB (download)
This month, we're talking risk. Three experts give their perspective on how long you might live, how to deal with loneliness – and how to step outside your comfort zone.
The math behind all the probabilities being discussed for tonight’s Powerball drawing assumes each number is equally likely to be chosen. Is that what really happens?
A mathematician looks at the odds.
Top contributors
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Associate Professor, Epidemiology, Deakin University
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Associate Professor in Applied Mathematics, The University of Melbourne
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Prize fellow and EPSRC research fellow in probability, University of Bath
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Principal Research Fellow, CQUniversity Australia
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Associate Professor, Department of Biostatistics, University at Buffalo
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Postgraduate Student, Monash University
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Associate Professor, Sydney School of Public Health, University of Sydney
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Professor of Decision and Information Systems, Indiana University
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Professor, University of the Western Cape
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Associate Professor of Computing and Information, University of Pittsburgh
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Professor, Philosophy of Science, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of History, University of Montana
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Associate Professor, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo
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Professor of Social Welfare, Washington University in St. Louis
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Professor in Philosophy & Director of the NWU AI Hub, North-West University