A new study uncovers a hidden pattern of ground motions at the end of big earthquakes that could help scientists and planners identify likely danger zones.
Articles on Alpine Fault
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Earthquake scientists rely on distant seismic instruments to infer how faults rupture during large earthquakes. This video provides the first direct evidence.
New research shows the last big earthquake on the Alpine Fault ran from south to north. With a 75% chance of another rupture in the next 50 years, this improves how we can forecast its impact.
Fibre-optic cables act as densely-spaced ground-motion sensors to give earthquake scientists a close look at New Zealand’s Alpine Fault, in anticipation of its next big rupture.
We may never know exactly when the next big quake will hit – but we can have a pretty good idea of the odds.
New Zealand’s Alpine Fault has ruptured in a major earthquake on average every 250 years. New research shows a 75% chance of the next one within 50 years, and it’s likely to be magnitude 8 or more.
An international team discovers extreme underground conditions at New Zealand’s Alpine Fault, which is due to rupture in a major earthquake in the next few decades.
Top contributors
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Research Fellow in Earth Science, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Professor of tectonics and geophysics, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Seismologist, GNS Science
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Senior lecturer, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Seismologist, Postdoctoral Fellow, Australian National University
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Earthquake Scientist, Monash University
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Professor of Geophysics, Australian National University
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Assistant Professor of Geology, University of California, Riverside
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Professor of Geophysics, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington