There’s been quite a bit of speculation over whether Australia has a property market bubble - where house prices are over-inflated compared to a benchmark - and when it might burst. According to housing…
- Associate Professor, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
Economists struggle to agree on when and where housing bubbles occur, but bubbles all have similar characterisitics.
Economists are divided on whether the latest interest rate cut to 1.5% was needed, as the RBA tries to boost inflation and growth.
The global sharemarket volatility will weigh on Reserve Bank board members as they consider interest rates.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has decided to leave the official cash rate unchanged at a record low of 2%, but said there was scope for a rate cut down the line.
Gloomy portents for the Australian economy suggest interest rates should continue where they are, say the economists shadowing the Reserve Bank.
The best course of action for the Reserve Bank is to hold off changing rates; but the longer term case for an increase is changing.
China’s slowing economy is a greater concern than the Greek crisis, but booming property prices mean the RBA should hold firm.
Last month’s cash rate cut should not be repeated, say the majority of Reserve Bank Shadow Board members.
Economic data is giving a mixed picture on whether the Reserve Bank should cut rates, but on balance, RBA members should hold.
Financial markets have factored in a cut to Australia’s cash rate, but economists - including the CAMA Shadow Board - aren’t so sure.
Weak labour market data has confirmed a soft economic outlook, but our Shadow Board experts believe a rate cut isn’t the answer.
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
The CAMA RBA Shadow Board is a project by the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, based at the ANU, which asks industry and academic economists what interest rate the Reserve Bank of Australia should…
Latest economic news shows some promising signs for the Australian economy. However, the new government’s first budget next Tuesday is a big unknown. The unemployment rate fell to 5.8% in March while full…
The Australian economy appears to be benefiting from the current expansionary stance in monetary policy, despite uncertainties in the global economy. The CAMA Shadow Board is 71% confident that the cash…
The key question for interest rates this month is whether improving domestic demand will curb the increasing rate of unemployment and underemployment, or whether labour market weakness will persist. The…
Without a clear direction of where the Australian economy is heading, the consensus to keep the cash rate at its current level of 2.5% remains strong. Uncertainties surrounding the domestic and foreign…
A lack of news around the domestic and international economies has prompted CAMA’s Reserve Bank of Australia Shadow Board to maintain its consensus to keep the cash rate at its current level of 2.5%. The…
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