As uncertain as 2019-20 is, The Conversation’s team of 20 leading economists are in broad agreement that the outlook isn’t good. Scott Morrison and Treasurer Josh Frydenberg will also have to deal with the unexpected. Wes Mountain/The Conversation

Buckle up. 2019‑20 survey finds the economy weak and heading down, and that’s ahead of surprises

The Conversation’s distinguished panel predicts unusually weak growth, dismal spending, no improvement in either unemployment or wage growth, and an increased chance of recession.
Reserve Bank Governor Phi;lip Lowe will keep cutting rates until he has forced inflation up and unemployment down. Dan Himbrechts/AAP

The Reserve Bank will cut rates again and again, until we lift spending and push up prices

The Reserve Bank cut interest rates on Tuesday because we weren’t spending or pushing up prices at the rate it wanted. On Wednesday we might find things are worse than it thought.
Labor leader Anthony Albanese’s new shadow ministry includes a few surprises, though many of the faces remain the same. The Conversation / AAP Images

Infographic: who’s who in Labor’s shadow ministry

From Bill Shorten to Kristina Keneally, our experts break down Labor’s new shadow ministry – who’s in, who’s been promoted, and who faces the greatest challenges in their new roles
Morrison’s Cabinet features a few new faces, and several familiar ministers in different roles. The Conversation / AAP Images

Infographic: who’s who in the new Morrison ministry

Scott Morrison’s new ministry includes a few new faces and several new roles for familiar cabinet members. Our experts take a closer look at each portfolio.
Treasurer Josh Frydenberg and Prime Minister Scott Morrison at a campaign rally. They’ll have to shore up a weakening economy. Mick Tsikas/AAP

Their biggest challenge? Avoiding a recession

Frydenberg and Morrison will have to switch from boasting about the economy to fixing it, quickly.
Today on Trust Me I’m An Expert, we’re bringing you a special episode carried across from The Conversation podcast Politics with Michelle Grattan. Mick Tsikas(AAP)/The Conversation/Shutterstock

PODCAST: Michelle Grattan, Peter Martin and Tim Colebatch on the election‑eve budget chock full of sweeteners

Michelle Grattan, Peter Martin and Tim Colebatch on the election-eve budget chock full of sweeteners The Conversation27.4 MB (download)
Fresh from the budget lockup, chief political correspondent Michelle Grattan talks with Business and Economics Editor Peter Martin and political and economic journalist Tim Colebatch.
Frydenberg’s tax cuts are retrospective, but no-one will be complaining. Shutterstock/Mick Tsikas/AAP

It’s the budget cash splash that reaches back in time

It’s a cash splash worthy of Rudd, and it will push an extra $3.5 billion into the economy within weeks.
Former Labor prime minister Paul Keating, the father of Australia’s compulsory superannuation system, with former prime minister Julia Gillard at Labor leader Bill Shorten’s campaign launch in 2016. Mick Tsikas/AAP

Frydenberg should call a no‑holds‑barred inquiry into superannuation, now, because Labor won’t

A full throated inquiry into superannuation and whether we need more could be the last best thing the Coalition does.
Things will continue to look good enough for long enough to help the government fight the election. Beyond that, the Conversation Economic Panel is worried. Wes Mountain/The Conversation

No surplus, no share market growth, no lift in wage growth. Economic survey points to bleaker times post‑election

The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.

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