Paul Gregory

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Australia will probably see fewer tropical cyclones reaching land this season. AAP Image/Bureau of Meteorology

Australia could see fewer cyclones, but more heat and fire risk in coming months

Jonathan Pollock, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Andrew B. Watkins, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Catherine Ganter, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and Paul Gregory, Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Southern and eastern Australia need to prepare for heatwaves and increased fire risk this summer, as forecasts predict hot, dry weather.
Nice weather if you’re into skiing, or being really cold. AAP Image/Progressive PR, Mount Buller Ski Resort, Andrew Railton

Is the tropical Indian Ocean to blame for southern Australia’s wet winter?

Catherine Ganter, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Andrew B. Watkins, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; David Jones, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Jonathan Pollock, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and Paul Gregory, Australian Bureau of Meteorology

The Indian Ocean Dipole may be El Nino’s less famous cousin, but that hasn’t stopped it having a profound effect on Australia’s weather since it flipped into a “strong negative phase” two months ago.
This doesn’t happen very often. But the Bureau of Meteorology is getting much better at predicting when it will. AAP Image/NEWZULU/BILL SHRAPNEL

Weather forecasting is about to get even better

Paul Gregory, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Anthony Rea, Australian Bureau of Meteorology; Gary Dietachmayer, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and Karl Braganza, Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Moaning about weather forecasts is almost an Australian national pastime. But weather predictions have improved a lot, and with a new satellite and supercomputer, they are about to get even more reliable.

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