How much of a culture could be due to things like the grain it traditionally grew? Visoot Uthairam/Moment via Getty Images

Nearly 20% of the cultural differences between societies boil down to ecological factors – new research

A number of theories try to explain how cultural differences come to be. A new study quantifies how such factors as resource abundance, population density and infectious disease risk can contribute.
Les experts et chercheurs des sciences sociales peuvent-il vraiment prédire des changements sociaux? Leurs avis durant la pandémie de Covid-19 indique que non. (Shutterstock)

Les limites de l’expertise en sciences sociales : les nombreuses prévisions ratées durant la pandémie

Les chercheurs et experts en sciences sociales ont peiné à prédire l’évolution de la société pendant la pandémie de Covid-19, révèle une vaste étude.
To find out how well social scientists can predict societal change, researchers ran the largest forecasting initiative in the field’s history. Here’s what they found. (Shutterstock)

The limits of expert judgment: Lessons from social science forecasting during the pandemic

A sobering picture emerges from a study testing social scientists’ ability to predict societal change during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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