Ukraine wants to disrupt the convenience of 21st century life for Russians. Will it be effective in ending the war?
- Associate Professor (Adj), Griffith Asia Institute; and Fellow, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University
The White House and Kremlin tried unsuccessfully to influence Hungary’s election. But this doesn’t mean illiberalism is going away.
Once again, Trump has proven he is more interested in long-term deals with autocrats than achieving just and lasting resolutions to security crises.
Las relaciones de Trump con Putin demuestran que a Trump le importa poco cómo se alcance la paz en Ucrania o cuánto tiempo dure.
Ce qui importe à Trump, c’est pouvoir affirmer qu’une paix a été mise en œuvre, quelles qu’en soient les modalités et la durée de vie.
Trump’s dealings with Putin show it matters little to Trump how peace is attained in Ukraine, or how long it lasts.
Western military planners have been carefully studying Ukraine’s successes since the war began. Destroying $7 billion worth of aircrafts with cheap drones is yet another one.
Moscow and Jakarta have sought to deepen their military ties in recent years, which should give Australia some reason for concern.
The world needs to act to inoculate ourselves from the slow burn effect of a world made safe for autocracy rather than democracy.
Trump’s apparent break with Ukraine is making all US allies question his reliability. He vowed to put ‘America first’, but these moves just make the US more isolated.
The global implications of a confident and unfettered Trump 2.0 will depend very much on what foreign policy path he charts and whom he decides to appoint to key positions.
S’il est bien sûr trop tôt pour tirer des conclusions définitives de l’audacieuse opération ukrainienne, on constate déjà qu’elle a totalement pris la partie russe au dépourvu.
Russia has been characteristically slow to respond – and it’s highly likely its citizens will remain apathetic.
Vladimir Putin faces token opposition in the polls this weekend after his regime has viciously cracked down on opposition figures. He’s likely to be even more repressive in his next term.
Ukraine has fought off relentless waves of Russian attacks over the past two years, but if its Western support dries up, its resistance will be very hard to sustain.
This would send the message the West’s much-vaunted values and respect for rules are little more than rhetoric. It will also legitimise conquest as an option that goes unpunished.
Russia is not only looking for much-needed ammunition, it is trying to counter Western influence wherever it can.
The apparent death of the warlord in a plane shot down over Russia tells us much about the fragility that surrounds Russian politics.
The loudest disagreements at this year’s ALP national conference are likely to be on foreign policy - the AUKUS deal prime among them.
Putin has progressively sickened Russian society, creating a toxic culture that celebrates xenophobia, nativism, and violence.
Perhaps the gravest concern for Putin: having for years encouraged the Kremlin’s powerful elites to compete for his favour, he’s now given them a powerful reason to unite against him.
The infighting is dangerous for the Kremlin. It’s becoming harder for Vladimir Putin to dissociate himself from serious errors of judgement on the battlefield in Ukraine.
It’s absolutely critical for Ukraine that its counteroffensive succeeds. If it doesn’t, the international coalition that has kept Ukraine in the fight may well come to favour a negotiated settlement.
More than 5,000 documents were leaked by an anonymous whistleblower.
Successive governments have shied away from serious discussions about national security.
Contact Matthew for
- General
- Media request
- Speaking request
- Consulting / Advising
- Research collaboration
- Research supervision
- Location: Canberra, Australia
- X (formerly Twitter): @matthew_sussex
- Article Feed
- Joined
