What do Australians in focus groups say about the Liberal Party right now? “They just kind of laugh,” the former Liberal staffer turned pollster says.
Articles on voting intentions
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In the latest release of polls, the Morrison government also leads Albanese’s Labor when it comes to economic management.
Forget what the betting markets say. Research on past elections points to momentum carrying Joe Biden to a big victory over Donald Trump.
Internet polls are offering up quite different results to phone polls. Here are a few suggestions as to why.
‘Shy Tories’ doesn’t cut it. There is another anomaly in the election poll data which offers a more useful angle on what went wrong.
While pre-election polls got their sums wrong, and seemed to ignore biases in the rush to publish, a far more accurate call was being made in the betting shops of Britain.
The 2015 election has brought voters a plethora of helpful tools. Here’s how to use them.
Study finds identical twins more likely to vote the same way – unless they back the Lib Dems.
More than 280,000 votes were cast online at the NSW election, which has been claimed as a new world record. The state’s early vote also looks set to hit a new high, mirroring a trend across Australia.
The way Queensland voters chose to exercise their preferences was crucial in the shock defeat of the state’s first-term conservative government. Could that happen again in this weekend’s NSW election?
Politics as partisan blood sport may be fun to watch but may undermine discourse necessary for democracy. A study finds that online town halls may re-engage potential voters in the political process.
The contest for 28 marginal seats could give a strong indication of the overall result in May.
Give voters a wider choice and you’ll see more of them exercising it.
George Osborne has delivered his latest Autumn Statement, announcing there has been no recession during this parliament and forecasting that the British economy will grow by 3% this year. This final Autumn…
There seems to be a contradiction in the media reports about young people and their voting intentions in the Scottish referendum. While many polls and the Scottish Social Attitudes survey have found that…
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Southampton
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Senior Lecturer in Social Policy, University of Edinburgh
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Lecturer in Politics, University of the Sunshine Coast
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Lecturer in Politics, Birkbeck, University of London
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Senior Lecturer, Department of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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Professor of Research Methodology, Director of National Centre for Research Methods, University of Southampton
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Head of Politics, University of Liverpool
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Professor of Genetic Epidemiology, King's College London
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Professor of Government and Public Policy, University of Strathclyde
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Professor of Political Science, The Ohio State University
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King's College London
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Professor in Economics, The University of Queensland
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne