If COVID-19 becomes endemic, we’ll see multiple local outbreaks. Schools and businesses will close for days because too many people are sick. Local hospitals will be overwhelmed without warning.
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By merging genomics with classical epidemiology, researchers are able to predict new disease outbreaks based on which viral variants are on the rise.
As Auckland prepares to ease restrictions from Monday, active COVID-19 cases almost certainly remain in the community. Masks will become compulsory on public transport to avoid new outbreaks.
Getting the control measures right is critical.
Epidemiologists want to quickly identify any emerging disease’s potential to spread far and wide. Dependent on a number of factors, this R0 number helps them figure that out and plan accordingly.
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Professor of Public Health, Te Kunenga ki Pūrehuroa – Massey University
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Associate professor, University of Canterbury
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Ph.D. Student in Integrative Pathobiology, University of California, Davis
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Professor of Population Health & Reproduction, University of California, Davis
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Professor in Applied Mathematics, University of Canterbury
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Professor of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde
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Professor and Chair of Epidemiology, University of Michigan
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Director of the Malaghan Institute of Medical Research, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Adjunct professor, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Professor of Epidemiology, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Research assistant, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau