This result, which is vastly different from what opinion polls were indicating, shows the probability of “herding” in polls, and also emphasises that betting odds are to be treated with great caution.
Articles on Labor Party
Displaying 101 - 120 of 261 articles
What if Bob Hawke, hailed as a leader who actually ‘got’ environmental issues, had never been rolled by Paul Keating? Perhaps the climate policy wars would have turned out differently.
Analysis of tweets from the election campaign reveal two key trends: independents are organising, and embattled Liberal candidates are having to take the fight to their rivals.
History suggests we can run sizable budget deficits while shrinking the budget debt burden. Mid last century our leaders weren’t afraid to say so.
Labor has ditched its reliance on a single economy-wide climate policy, in favour of a range of different measures that will all help drive down emissions. But some crucial issues remain unaddressed.
For more than 30 years, Environmental Defenders Offices around the country have worked to help people take legal action on environmental issues. They’ve notched some big wins along the way.
At times we are told Labor’s capital gains tax policy will hit mainly high earners. At other times, low earners. The truth, uncovered by our microsimulation model, tells us something about ourselves.
With just days to go before the election, Labor is making a last-minute appeal to voters to stay in power, while the Liberals are pressing for change.
Clare O'Neil on Labor’s listening tour for banking victims
Shadow minister for financial services Clare O'Neil says the ALP exercise will give a voice to people in areas the Royal Commission hasn't had time to visit.
Shorten’s extra royal commission hearings and legislating the GST carve-up.
Bill Shorten says Labor’s plan to make super contributions on behalf of women on paid parental leave would have a “big impact”. We find its impact would be be minuscule.
Fairfax Ipsos gives Labor another win on two-party preferred, albeit with weird primary vote numbers, while the Labor party in Victoria has another poll win just over two months ahead of the state election.
Politics podcast: Wayne Swan on Labor’s byelection victories and beyond
CC BY24.7 MB (download)
Incoming national president and outgoing MP Wayne Swan dismissed the notion that party reform is on that agenda saying there "is no issue ... my priority is winning the battle of ideas.”
History warns us to beware of the fickleness of polls taken mid-term, which tend to be a snapshot rather than a deep reading of the electoral mood.
‘Super Saturday’ had positive spin-offs for both federal leaders, but substantially more for Bill Shorten than Malcolm Turnbull.
The failure to wrest Batman is a big setback for the Greens.
The reality is that Bill Shorten is, in many ways, a garden-variety centre-left leader.
The Liberals went from a losing position in Tasmanian polls months ago to a comfortable victory on election day.
Labor’s pledge injects much-needed funds into education research, but it problematically evokes a biomedical model of research and teaching practice.
A new ABC documentary presents a nostalgic but compelling overview of one of Australia’s most successful prime ministers.
Top contributors
-
Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
-
Director, Vice-Chancellor's Centre of Public Ideas (CoPI) and Donald Horne Professor of History and Public Ideas, University of Canberra
-
Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
-
Emeritus Professor of Politics, Monash University
-
Senior Lecturer, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Deakin University
-
Emerita Professor of Politics, Adelaide University
-
Associate Professor in Politics, Murdoch University
-
Professor, Canberra School of Government, University of Canberra
-
Postdoctoral research fellow, Flinders University; University of Canberra
-
Associate Professor in Politics and International Relations, School of Social Sciences, Monash University
-
Associate Professor, Politics and Public Policy, Flinders University
-
Senior Project Manager, Murdoch University
-
Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice Chancellor's Fellow and Professorial Fellow, Institute for Human Security and Social Change, La Trobe University
-
Emeritus Professor, Macquarie University
-
Lecturer in Australian Political Studies, University of Canberra