Donald Trump’s Maga supporters are not naturally in favour of US involvement in Iran. Many have criticised Trump for considering it.
Articles on Iran
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While Iran’s proxy network of paramilitary groups has been decimated, it still have powerful friends.
Donald Trump exited the G7 summit in Canada early, with a string of social media posts suggesting US involvement in striking Iran.
An oil surplus means that so far reaction has been muted – but disruption and rising prices could still be on the cards.
All 3 nations have sunk costs and made promises that make it harder to find an off-ramp from conflict.
Iran is highly fragmented and doesn’t have a long tradition of democracy or a unified opposition movement. So what happens if the supreme leader is toppled?
Even though WhatsApp has strong privacy and security features, it isn’t impenetrable – as Israel has previously shown.
Some major events in the history of US-Iran relations highlight differences between the countries’ views, but others have presented real opportunities for reconciliation.
The Iranian military has been largely unable to prevent missile attacks and Israeli aircraft from entering its air space.
Israel has made clear its desire for regime change in Iran. But if the supreme leader is toppled, the next government would not likely be any friendlier to the West.
The latest attacks have come amid growing concern over Iran’s nuclear program, prompting questions over what this means for the global non-proliferation regime.
Strikes on nuclear facilities in Iran may increase Tehran’s belief that attaining nuclear weapons is key to establishing a deterrence to regime change.
Far from having solved the issue of Middle East peace, assassinations continue to pour oil on the flames.
Israel’s high-tech defences have so far succeeded against most of the hundreds of ballistic missiles fired by Iran.
There are few clear paths to an immediate end to the fighting between Israel and Iran. And what comes after the war could be even more concerning.
Despite not relying on Iran for its oil supplies, petrol and other prices in Australia will rise due to the global impact of the Israel–Iranian war.
After such a devastating attack from Israel, Iran’s leaders see no choice but to fight back. Any sign of weakness would severely undermine the regime’s legitimacy at home.
Multiple nuclear and military facilities were targeted in an Israeli strike, which took place days before US and Iran were due to conduct a sixth round of nuclear talks.
The timing of Israel’s air strikes suggest to some that the US influence over Benjamin Netanyahu has weakened.
Trump had good reason to try to constrain Netanyahu while nuclear talks with Iran proceeded, but Israel decided instead to try to behead the ‘octopus’.
Top contributors
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Professor of International Politics, Clinton Institute, University College Dublin
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Professor of International Relations, Lancaster University
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Emeritus Professor of Middle Eastern Studies, Australian National University; The University of Western Australia; Victoria University
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Henry J. Leir Professor of Practice in Economics of the Middle East, Brandeis University
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Research Fellow, Middle East Studies, Deakin University
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Director, Middle East Studies Forum (MESF), Deakin University
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Director of the Curtin Extremism Research Network (CERN), Curtin University
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Professor in the Department of Government, University of Essex
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Honorary Research Fellow, Department of International Politics, City St George's, University of London
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Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Associate Professor in International Politics, UCL
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Associate Professor of Practice of Public Policy, University of Michigan
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Professor of the Practice of Political Science and International Relations, USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
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Director of Dickinson Program in New Zealand & Associate Professor of Politics at the University of Otago, Dickinson College