There have been some very public examples of ‘compliance fatigue’. But tracking behaviour shows Australians have been responding to rules and perceived risks – and all our efforts matter.
Articles on Doherty Modelling
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The Australian people will be best served by separating science from politics.
Experts at the Doherty Institute have updated their modelling to heighten caution around reopening for business and play.
The problem with the plan to relax restrictions at 70% and 80% vaccination rates is it’s based on modelling that’s now obsolete.
The rules dividing states and territories are likely to remain in the short term. But as time goes on and vaccination rates increase, many may stop trying to reach COVID-zero too.
A lot is based on how effective our system of test, trace, isolate and quarantine is. And we’ll still have to accept some level of new cases.
The next months are going to remain difficult. But I’m still hopeful about the future. There will come a point when enough people are vaccinated that case numbers begin to decrease.
It’s simply not “safe” for many Australians to come out of Scott Morrison’s proverbial cave until vaccination rates increase.
Brokering peace among the factions appearing in National Cabinet will be key to a successful transition to reopening Australia. But there are many gaps in the plan.
Doherty’s Sharon Lewin on pivoting from chasing COVID zero
Michelle Grattan discusses the Doherty Modelling with director of the Doherty Institute Professor Sharon Lewin
Scott Morrison has called on Australia’s to focus on emerging from the cave, while Anthony Albanese has labelled him the ‘gaslight on the hill’
The battle to exit COVID
Michelle Grattan discusses politics with politics + society editor, Amanda Dunn
Top contributors
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Research Fellow in Statistics for Biosecurity Risk, The University of Melbourne
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Senior Lecturer, The University of Queensland
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Professor in Mathematical Biology, The University of Melbourne
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Research Fellow, Epidemic Decision Support, The University of Melbourne
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Scientia Professor of Economics, UNSW
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Honorary Enterprise Professor, School of Population and Global Health, and Department of General Practice and Primary Care, The University of Melbourne
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Professor, University of Sydney; RMIT University
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Visiting Fellow, Tax and Transfer Policy Institute, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Deputy Executive Dean (Research Centres), Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney
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Honorary Research Fellow, Telethon Kids Institute, and Professor, Curtin School of Population Health, Curtin University
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Professor, Public Service Research, UNSW
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Professor of Infectious Diseases, Monash University
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Adjunct professor, Kirby Institute for Infection and Immunity, UNSW
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Professor and Director of Doherty Epidemiology, The University of Melbourne