Special election results have anticipated recent midterm outcomes. With Democrats now overperforming, that could spell trouble for the GOP in 2026.
Articles on 2026 midterm elections
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In dozens of states, an increasing number of legislative seats are going completely uncontested by one of the two major parties.
The president loves exercising power in the United States and abroad. But he’s tanking in the polls – and the November mid-terms may clip his wings at home.
As the 2026 midterm elections edge closer, most people know the party that controls the White House is likely to lose seats in Congress. They usually do not know just how entrenched that pattern is.
What our experts believe will be crucial about the votes in Bangladesh, Brazil, Quebec and the United States.
The president’s party almost always loses seats in the midterms. More than two dozen Republican House members have already decided to retire.
The Democrats won recent elections with a laser focus on cost of living. Now comes the hard part: getting the left and centre to agree on a vision for America’s future.
The states are high, so the Trump administration is trying to change voting laws, while both sides gerrymandering to give them an advantage.
Gavin Newsom has energised fellow Democrats with his ‘fight fire with fire’ approach to the president – if he wins, he may be a strong candidate for the White House.
The MAGA base is not happy. Trump’s handling of the Epstein controversy has done significant damage to his standing, particularly among his core supporters.
The last eight members of Congress who died in office were Democrats. A younger generation of office seekers has raised their opponent’s age as a significant issue in their campaigns.
Top contributors
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Boise State University
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Non-resident Senior Fellow, United States Study Centre, University of Sydney
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Professor of Political Science, Clark University; Institute for Humane Studies
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Lecturer in International Studies and Politics, Ulster University; Queen's University Belfast
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Senior Fellow, Miller Center, University of Virginia
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Professor of Political Science, Coastal Carolina University
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Assistant Professor of Public Policy and Politics, University of Virginia
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Assistant Professor of Law, Quinnipiac University
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Research Fellow, Jeff Bleich Centre for Democracy and Disruptive Technologies, Flinders University
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Professor of Political Science & Public Affairs, Western Carolina University
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Adjunct Professor of Government, School of Public Affairs, American University
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Provost Professor of Political Science, UMass Amherst
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President, Dickinson College
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Associate Professor of Legal Studies and Political Science, UMass Amherst