The days of rapid economic growth are long gone. New analysis helps explain what has changed.
- Senior Research Fellow, Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University
Deaths have exceeded births by 3 million over the past two years. China’s working-age population is set to plunge to one-fifth of its peak.
One scenario has China’s population halving by the end of the century, another has it falling by two-thirds.
For all the talk of ‘the Chinese century’, population trends suggest influence might move elsewhere – including to neighbouring India, whose population looks set to overtake China in the next decade.
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