Youssef En-Nesyri (c) celebrates after scoring Morocco’s first goal against Portugal during quarterfinal match on December 10 2022. AP Photo/Martin Meissner

Morocco are the first‑ever African semifinalists of the World Cup. Here’s what geographical data tell us about this result

Football is one of the hardest sports to predict – but there are some fascinating geographical clues when we look at the latitudes of past performers and their ultimate success.
Office perks like slides down stairs may not be the best way to motivate good behaviour. Scott Beale/Flickr

The science of business decision making: giving out perks doesn’t necessarily lead to results

Business Briefing: the science of business decision making The Conversation14.3 MB (download)
Research shows paying people more can actually lead to worse decisions. Getting the best results from executives requires understanding our complex motivations
Statistics and probability can sometimes yield mind bending results. Shutterstock

Paradoxes of probability and other statistical strangeness

Sometimes statistics and probability can produce unexpected or counter-intuitive results. If we’re hoping to use numbers to make good decisions, we should be wary of the traps.
from www.shutterstock.com

The curious incentives and consequences of negative gearing

What are the consequences of negative gearing policy? We’ve created a board game to model how negative gearing affects housing distribution, based on modelling from Dr Stephen Woodcock.
Predicting the outcome of each of the 198 AFL home-and-away matches is no small task. AAP/Joe Castro

A tip to win your office footy tipping? Don’t listen to the experts

If you’re looking to win your colleagues’ and friends’ respect in a footy tipping competition you can do a whole lot worse than simply tuning out of the countless hours of TV and radio analysis.
The mathematical modelling of traffic networks can throw up conflicting results. Flickr/Wendell

The maths of congestion: springs, strings and traffic jams

The planning for any new road should include plenty of mathematical modelling. But getting the right numbers can be a challenge and there’s the odd paradox to deal with as well.
Hopes are high that Australia’s home advantage can help it win this month’s Asian Cup. AAP Image/Nikki Short

Socceroos have a host‑nation advantage in the Asian Cup

The 2015 AFC Asian Cup is the biggest football tournament ever held in Australia, so what bearing does the host status have on the Socceroos’ chances of success? A lot more than you might think. When econometricians…
Damien Oliver (left) rides Fiorente to victory in Race 7 the Emirates Melbourne Cup at the 2013 Melbourne Cup. AAP Image/Hamish Blair

Do historical trends in Melbourne Cup champions point to a winner?

If you’re looking for a definitive answer on who will win the Melbourne Cup – the world’s most prestigious two-mile handicap – I’m afraid I’m going to leave you sorely disappointed. What I can offer is…
Parramatta Eels player Jarryd Hayne when he announced he was quitting the NRL to pursue an NFL career in the US. AAP Image/Paul Miller

Jarryd Hayne’s code‑shift and the ‘unscrupulous diner’ in NRL

Former Parramatta and Australia fullback Jarryd Hayne is in the United States trying to swap his National Rugby League (NRL) colours for a chance to play in the National Football League (NFL). A two-time…
The Bulldogs beat the Pathers in the preliminary final - but can the underdogs do it again in this weekend’s NRL Grand Final against the Rabbitohs? AAP Image/Action Photographics, Grant Trouville

Number crunching the odds on the NRL Grand Final

When the final siren sounds at Sydney’s Olympic Stadium on Sunday night either the South Sydney Rabbitohs or Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs will be crowned as 2014 National Rugby League (NRL) Premiers…

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